TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f9c…34d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,657Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,656.84
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$3,191.62
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9backed ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$5,178.6
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$8,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,778
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Bbacked Arcade Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,586.17
Counter-Strike: FURY vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Abacked FURY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.94
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked BORRACHEIROS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.93
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,358.75
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$401
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$932.73
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,037.39
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6,348.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,822Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8,366.69
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,255.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,549.99
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,591.15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10,382.63
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,877
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,586Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12,425.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,900
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13,953Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5,699.08
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,889Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,871.32
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,850
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,299.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$8,999.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,450
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270.87
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,583.64
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26,584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$14,146.64
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+476.7%+$9,010.65
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$97.5
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16,200
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70,609.38
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$9,212.64
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,300
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$6,519.87
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$9,476.51
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51,695
Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$830.37
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$162.6
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$6,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$6,611.38
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+51.6%+$17,843.28
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34,468.89
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29,937Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$29,936.7
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69,703Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$81,810.05
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36,339.98
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45,232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+101.4%+$45,849.44
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$5,874.76
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27,464Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$22,946.3
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,712.3
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Ivan Marrerobacked Ivan Marrero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,423.54
ITF Bielsko Biala: Vladyslav Orlov vs Wojciech Marekbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$720
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mariia Masiianskaia vs Maria Herazobacked Maria Herazo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,248
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,012Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,147.59
Sabalenka vs. Zhang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,940.4
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24,946Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$11,833.77
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,974Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+243.1%+$7,230.74
National Bank Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,510Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,990
National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Duncan Chan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,367.88
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50,000
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$7,049.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,718Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8,617.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50,671Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+66%+$33,465.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6,566.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$268.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,289.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,526.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,676.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.