Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bielsko Biala: Vladyslav Orlov vs Wojciech Marek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f548aa0e738c6b0c7c02f2469901088e84dc5624efd558582e9ffdf36edf16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vladyslav Orlovof Vladyslav Orlov, Wojciech Marek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vladyslav Orlov | 58c | 5,362$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wojciech Marek | 45c | 4,776$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.3 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wojciech Marek | 30c | 2,563$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Vladyslav Orlov | 70c | 2,400$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Wojciech Marek | 6c | 1,248$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 72c | 658.29$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Wojciech Marek | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Wojciech Marek | 45c | 422$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vladyslav Orlov | 64c | 246.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 218.39$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Wojciech Marek | 45c | 156.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Wojciech Marek | 46c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Vladyslav Orlov | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 56c | 97.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Vladyslav Orlov | 78c | 95.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Wojciech Marek | 45c | 88.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…6019backed Vladyslav Orlov | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wojciech Marek | 27c | 68.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Wojciech Marek | 46c | 62.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Wojciech Marek | 46c | 47.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Wojciech Marek | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Vladyslav Orlov | 60c | 43.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Vladyslav Orlov | 73c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Vladyslav Orlov | 71c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Vladyslav Orlov | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Vladyslav Orlov | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.