CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURY vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ebb975d572c0cdd139f4db0f78708dc914260639f18512bbea77bb996a50849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mindfreakof FURY, Mindfreak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Mindfreak | 49c | 6,009$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.98 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURY | 51c | 3,055$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.68 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Mindfreak | 59c | 2,745$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.59 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURY | 48c | 2,437$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.21 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked FURY | 43c | 1,685$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Mindfreak | 57c | 1,669$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.59 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Mindfreak | 56c | 1,310$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.18 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Mindfreak | 58c | 878.47$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.39 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed FURY | 41c | 646.64$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FURY | 44c | 598.46$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed FURY | 41c | 534$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed FURY | 41c | 533.23$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed FURY | 40c | 477.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed FURY | 40c | 427.32$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FURY | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Mindfreak | 59c | 401.15$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed FURY | 49c | 400.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FURY | 40c | 395.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked FURY | 40c | 335.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURY | 38c | 332.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Mindfreak | 62c | 325.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 324 | 61.4%199 W · 125 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked FURY | 41c | 313.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked FURY | 41c | 311.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked FURY | 40c | 306$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed FURY | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FURY | 50c | 296.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked FURY | 42c | 264.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Mindfreak | 62c | 255.08$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Mindfreak | 60c | 239.41$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Mindfreak | 59c | 221.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Mindfreak | 59c | 205$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…1b1fbacked FURY | 42c | 204.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mindfreak | 56c | 200.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed FURY | 31c | 195$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Mindfreak | 57c | 178.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FURY | 50c | 173$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed FURY | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Mindfreak | 57c | 169.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FURY | 49c | 138.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Mindfreak | 59c | 132.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Mindfreak | 58c | 131.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mindfreak | 60c | 121.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FURY | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked FURY | 44c | 116.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Mindfreak | 66c | 116.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…df3abacked FURY | 40c | 103.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked FURY | 42c | 98.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Mindfreak | 58c | 85.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mindfreak | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FURY | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Mindfreak | 57c | 57.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Mindfreak | 61c | 52.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed FURY | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FURY | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked FURY | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FURY | 40c | 48.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed FURY | 44c | 46.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Mindfreak | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed FURY | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 347 | 50.1%174 W · 173 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Mindfreak | 78c | 31.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked FURY | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Mindfreak | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked FURY | 41c | 29.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FURY | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed FURY | 48c | 27.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Mindfreak | 62c | 25.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Mindfreak | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 662 | 48.6%322 W · 340 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Mindfreak | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 535 | 69.3%371 W · 164 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Mindfreak | 58c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mindfreak | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Mindfreak | 58c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.