TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x072e…df3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.05
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.72
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$67.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$60.74
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+152%+$44.35
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$61.64
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.52
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.21
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.28
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.04
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.54
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Cbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$59.4
Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs VP.Prodigy - Map 2 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Counter-Strike: Passion Chicha vs Vael (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9backed Vael · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.05
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.6
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ODDIK Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked ODDIK Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.73
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group Abacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Bbacked Arcade Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Counter-Strike: FURY vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Abacked FURY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Bbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.76
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.74
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.92
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$26.58
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked No Hoodwink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$26.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.36
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$62.13
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$59.97
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked Habos Babos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$39.14
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.01
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$158.77
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.82
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$13.41
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yanevabacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$10.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.08
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.82
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.