TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$868,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$958,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Natus Vincere46c142,809$66,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,542.3222451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Natus Vincere45c64,846$29,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,632.0518429.9%55 W · 129 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere44c52,667$23,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,633.3896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Fnatic50c42,737$21,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,157.125546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Fnatic56c39,094$22,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,035.512840.6%52 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Natus Vincere42c35,160$14,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,393.064566.7%30 W · 15 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xaa4d…0bd2backed Natus Vincere44c35,000$15,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,731.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Fnatic23c34,871$8,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,183.081,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed Fnatic57c25,900$14,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,6481225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed Fnatic57c21,600$12,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,3121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Fnatic46c20,908$9,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,650.661,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Fnatic56c20,787$11,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,666.953531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Fnatic57c19,493$11,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1112536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Fnatic31c18,423$5,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.678146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fnatic32c18,146$5,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,720.741,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Fnatic55c17,022$9,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,441.0620146.8%94 W · 107 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Fnatic55c15,592$8,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5621361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Fnatic57c15,000$8,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,520.218648.8%42 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Fnatic54c12,903$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,967.6159248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere45c12,047$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,667.3959554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Fnatic35c11,039$3,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.266046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked Natus Vincere44c11,000$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1602944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere64c10,712$6,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.0185442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Fnatic57c10,301$5,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,871.5738235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd69…e2cebacked Fnatic0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10313.2%1 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7876…a162backed Fnatic57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7001145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e3…1a64backed Fnatic57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Natus Vincere46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9314553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Fnatic57c8,757$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.4951146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fnatic22c8,698$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.322,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e77…6d85backed Natus Vincere46c7,366$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.451553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Fnatic57c7,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.9914342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere62c6,878$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.991,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere66c6,679$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.1418971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Fnatic56c6,206$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,475.4717555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Fnatic56c6,078$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.6311750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fnatic55c6,000$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,32045338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd76b…e9d5backed Natus Vincere41c5,906$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.574946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f8…daa1backed Fnatic57c5,875$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Fnatic44c5,683$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.5343442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere67c5,555$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.621,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Fnatic58c5,363$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10013046.2%60 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Natus Vincere43c5,348$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,048.2617348%83 W · 90 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Fnatic57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8502365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed Fnatic57c4,807$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.179255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Natus Vincere62c4,664$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.7797854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffca…b04cbacked Fnatic56c4,580$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere66c4,427$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.41,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere62c4,213$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.071,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Natus Vincere40c4,103$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.245831%18 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32050848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Fnatic57c3,913$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.57744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Natus Vincere43c3,800$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.997463.5%47 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1047…9036backed Fnatic57c3,747$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.783348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Fnatic53c3,722$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.581,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed Natus Vincere63c3,412$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.366851.5%35 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Fnatic58c3,179$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.633429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fnatic32c3,001$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.171,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Fnatic57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7102669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Fnatic53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Natus Vincere48c2,900$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.9717439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Fnatic40c2,414$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95610751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere41c2,250$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.481,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Fnatic46c2,178$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Natus Vincere66c2,078$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.524856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Fnatic67c2,067$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.513026.7%8 W · 22 L-9.1wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-59.8%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed Fnatic45c2,039$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.0515352.9%81 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Natus Vincere66c2,030$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fnatic53c2,004$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.8635435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Fnatic50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.981,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Natus Vincere46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9822536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Natus Vincere43c1,924$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.781,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Fnatic57c1,900$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Fnatic17c1,858$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9917933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Fnatic50c1,768$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.7363944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7d…df55backed Fnatic57c1,728$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…6d52backed Fnatic57c1,714$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.14748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere43c1,678$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.931,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere60c1,663$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.392,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fe…5a7ebacked Fnatic57c1,659$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d4…f843backed Fnatic53c1,645$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.648344.6%37 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere46c1,600$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Natus Vincere73c1,582$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.7766559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fnatic57c1,518$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.3662451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Fnatic37c1,493$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.154065%26 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Fnatic57c1,492$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.5620036.5%73 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Natus Vincere67c1,409$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.939262%57 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Natus Vincere71c1,376$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.577741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Natus Vincere44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.6431849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere62c1,339$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.572,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf6…f90ebacked Fnatic57c1,330$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.351250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Fnatic11c1,275$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.018644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c09…0d70backed Natus Vincere22c1,190$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.486523.1%15 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Fnatic54c1,163$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6428149.8%140 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Fnatic56c1,160$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.421,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Natus Vincere67c1,147$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.484660.9%28 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe888…0364backed Natus Vincere44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.41723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Fnatic52c1,100$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.0117835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Fnatic35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3852722.2%6 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.