Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b12bc72b09e3e1d7180860a5fba76981fefa030fa56d257b2fc1c0802c0dd71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 56c | 3,444$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.01 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 2,964$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.57 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 40c | 1,721$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.82 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 1,629$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.05 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 1,559$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.73 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 51c | 1,236$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.87 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.93 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Over | 51c | 997.95$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.95 | 209 | 46.4%97 W · 112 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 79c | 902.33$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.19 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 42c | 715.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…f66abacked Under | 53c | 679.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 663.28$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.15 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 40c | 654$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.86 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 49c | 619.25$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 70c | 589.15$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 543.72$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.41 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 69c | 536.43$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.05 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Under | 49c | 521.65$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 52c | 343.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 343.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 292$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 22c | 211.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 51c | 171.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 31c | 167.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 49c | 152.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…33b4backed Under | 49c | 144$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 125.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Over | 49c | 123.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 52c | 121.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 39c | 113$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Over | 49c | 91.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 35c | 91.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 19c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 76.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 40c | 76.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6593…445ebacked Under | 45c | 67.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 48c | 63.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 51c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 58c | 60.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 59.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Under | 57c | 53.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…5acdbacked Over | 60c | 48.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Over | 58c | 40.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 33.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 32.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…f14fbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 77c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.