Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec8dd84753c25de01d090db421a9b39334f0b36737c75dec373170e1590251c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $872,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $975,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $872,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 533 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 71,589$31,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,658.71 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Fnatic | 55c | 45,812$25,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,082.95 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Fnatic | 14c | 30,852$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.92 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 20,625$9,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,390.04 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…3b0dbacked Fnatic | 58c | 20,115$11,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730.43 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 19,312$5,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,136.17 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 13,635$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,332.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Fnatic | 54c | 12,795$6,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862.89 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Fnatic | 54c | 11,534$6,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,228.19 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 11,500$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.92 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 11,323$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.55 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 10,703$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,103.09 | 219 | 68%149 W · 70 L | +28.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…03aebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 10,545$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,905.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 10,438$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.66 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic | 65c | 10,352$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.58 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Fnatic | 0c | 10,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Fnatic | 52c | 8,849$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,644 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed Fnatic | 57c | 8,500$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.36 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Fnatic | 69c | 8,053$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,567.99 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Fnatic | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Fnatic | 60c | 7,799$4,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,662.5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 7,794$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.6 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Fnatic | 57c | 7,254$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.04 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fnatic | 53c | 7,238$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.34 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 7,077$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.42 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Fnatic | 67c | 6,623$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.28 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Fnatic | 52c | 6,618$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.98 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…1d07backed Fnatic | 54c | 6,148$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 6,027$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.37 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic | 62c | 5,692$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.31 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Fnatic | 57c | 5,555$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.34 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Fnatic | 56c | 5,372$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 265 | 51.7%137 W · 128 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…248bbacked Fnatic | 55c | 5,215$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.42 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Fnatic | 64c | 5,110$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.97 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Fnatic | 54c | 5,043$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.22 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 64c | 4,955$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.63 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 4,844$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.12 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 4,728$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.24 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Fnatic | 14c | 4,556$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.29 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,398$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.89 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Fnatic | 57c | 4,394$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.72 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.64 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,998$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.94 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,943$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.7 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 3,920$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.8 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Fnatic | 53c | 3,742$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.13 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 3,668$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.11 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Fnatic | 49c | 3,259$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.38 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fnatic | 49c | 3,256$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.8 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed Fnatic | 14c | 3,251$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.04 | 146 | 23.3%34 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Fnatic | 67c | 3,088$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.83 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,952$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.96 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fnatic | 63c | 2,946$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.27 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,928$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.89 | 60 | 3.3%2 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Fnatic | 61c | 2,807$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.76 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,763$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.09 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Fnatic | 57c | 2,695$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.12 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 2,666$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.17 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Fnatic | 65c | 2,618$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.59 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Fnatic | 60c | 2,539$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.98 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Fnatic | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 2,494$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.23 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,424$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.32 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,417$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.66 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fnatic | 71c | 2,356$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.68 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Fnatic | 3c | 2,200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…d4dcbacked Fnatic | 2c | 2,200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +331.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed Fnatic | 56c | 2,178$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…86bcbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,163$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,143$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 2,093$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.92 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Fnatic | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Fnatic | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Fnatic | 55c | 1,940$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.97 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,888$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +157%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,798$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.9 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,777$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.04 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fnatic | 69c | 1,761$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.23 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,710$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.5 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…5135backed Fnatic | 59c | 1,694$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Fnatic | 63c | 1,644$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.42 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Fnatic | 57c | 1,627$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.66 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fnatic | 72c | 1,603$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.57 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fnatic | 31c | 1,559$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.15 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Fnatic | 71c | 1,521$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.32 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Fnatic | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Fnatic | 13c | 1,469$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Fnatic | 50c | 1,434$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.91 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,418$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.17 | 209 | 46.4%97 W · 112 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Fnatic | 60c | 1,400$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic | 55c | 1,382$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.03 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,377$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.45 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,372$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.96 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Fnatic | 56c | 1,279$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.24 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.