TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fire Flux Esportsof BBL Esports, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65c1…2988backed Fire Flux Esports62c23,988$14,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,115.3925554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Fire Flux Esports41c20,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,799.9717948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BBL Esports55c10,196$5,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,640.0453355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Fire Flux Esports51c9,519$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.2939646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BBL Esports55c8,378$4,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,613.556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed BBL Esports38c7,218$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.7810946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fire Flux Esports75c6,908$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.9146326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Fire Flux Esports41c6,150$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.2819860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed BBL Esports38c5,253$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec2…1c42backed BBL Esports2c5,172$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked BBL Esports38c5,160$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-77.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked BBL Esports38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9004542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Fire Flux Esports41c4,500$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.9526738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fire Flux Esports42c4,433$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.1828143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed BBL Esports50c4,030$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked BBL Esports58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3207443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Fire Flux Esports41c4,000$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.3232245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed BBL Esports58c3,891$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.7412138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed BBL Esports29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0153243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked Fire Flux Esports56c3,500$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.081770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed BBL Esports55c3,247$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BBL Esports59c2,820$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.8715343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fire Flux Esports58c2,789$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BBL Esports49c2,079$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.31,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked BBL Esports59c2,033$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.554845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed BBL Esports59c1,902$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.891952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed BBL Esports59c1,641$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed BBL Esports31c1,433$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed BBL Esports47c1,419$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.4315147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fire Flux Esports40c1,373$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.8826447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed BBL Esports60c1,366$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Fire Flux Esports47c1,329$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.794647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports37c1,320$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Fire Flux Esports77c1,200$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.91323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed BBL Esports59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7088640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed BBL Esports46c1,160$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.1211457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fire Flux Esports67c1,158$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.7238950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BBL Esports19c1,089$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8981134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed BBL Esports38c1,045$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3943551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed BBL Esports38c1,044$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed BBL Esports53c1,018$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.033834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fire Flux Esports71c1,015$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed BBL Esports51c1,005$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.7128252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked BBL Esports58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed BBL Esports58c999.95$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.973565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Fire Flux Esports41c999.92$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9524946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed BBL Esports31c987$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.389046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked BBL Esports47c941.49$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.184163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc5…b199backed Fire Flux Esports65c928.15$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked BBL Esports41c893.61$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.211233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked BBL Esports26c814.46$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.133857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked BBL Esports37c805.95$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2955048%24 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fire Flux Esports64c753.17$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0340945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Fire Flux Esports56c711$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.611163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891a…f778backed BBL Esports37c706.31$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BBL Esports39c695$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2538548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa521…d609backed Fire Flux Esports52c676.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.223363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed BBL Esports37c652$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3414750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Fire Flux Esports68c577$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.076235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed BBL Esports32c538.75$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17534253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BBL Esports22c508$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.291,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Fire Flux Esports62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1905263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Fire Flux Esports41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2956541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BBL Esports59c494.37$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6856551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Fire Flux Esports42c487.79$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.924759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Fire Flux Esports41c485.36$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports62c414.21$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.451749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed BBL Esports31c413.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2862156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x911f…7e46backed BBL Esports38c412.79$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed BBL Esports59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Fire Flux Esports76c399.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.662748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fire Flux Esports71c394.12$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed BBL Esports37c387$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.199737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed BBL Esports58c382.62$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.922040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd88a…a7e4backed Fire Flux Esports67c375.33$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked BBL Esports49c370$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked BBL Esports14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Fire Flux Esports42c352.7$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5725556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked BBL Esports38c350.89$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.342445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fire Flux Esports42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20323463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked BBL Esports33c344.46$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8716420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed BBL Esports59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005048%24 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed BBL Esports59c332.17$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9817948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…3df7backed Fire Flux Esports73c331.67$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked BBL Esports58c330.42$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6428955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Fire Flux Esports58c316$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.996245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb770…3f81backed Fire Flux Esports54c315.96$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.792231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed BBL Esports38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BBL Esports59c305$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9519546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed BBL Esports58c300.94$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed BBL Esports37c299.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7725245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BBL Esports53c297.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked BBL Esports58c290$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.215342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fire Flux Esports61c289.76$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4260154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked BBL Esports46c288.42$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.69737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked BBL Esports22c271.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.411044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BBL Esports19c269.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.631,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Fire Flux Esports62c265.79$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10123055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Fire Flux Esports62c264$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3213848.6%67 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Fire Flux Esports54c262.08$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0116033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.