Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b3a402f83ee4a327657e68cdb4190cf99154ace57fda7ff3c2cd9c78b93a84f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof BBL Esports, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 587.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked BBL Esports | 32c | 497.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.14 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed BBL Esports | 32c | 494.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 473.09$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 338.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BBL Esports | 32c | 288.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 63c | 249.59$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked BBL Esports | 31c | 53.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 43.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…0783backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsFire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.