TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof RE.Arise, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Lynx72c1,569$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.7137745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked RE.Arise21c1,399$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4828145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed RE.Arise48c1,396$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.393546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4a…0a8abacked RE.Arise63c1,221$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.611560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked Team Lynx57c1,202$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.231723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Lynx46c1,188$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9769132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed RE.Arise52c1,161$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.3841455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked RE.Arise56c1,063$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010637.7%40 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked RE.Arise14c817.87$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6320738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RE.Arise32c551.45$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.052,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx40c550$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33170052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed Team Lynx65c447.63$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.631442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked RE.Arise40c424.96$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7531251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Lynx37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Team Lynx40c378.43$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.063951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Lynx40c348.36$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3961449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Team Lynx39c337.81$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.197839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f9…4d40backed Team Lynx45c335.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx61c324.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4166947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed RE.Arise23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad26…6838backed Team Lynx42c265.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.882875%21 W · 7 L+7.9wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+58.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4d8b…a00dbacked RE.Arise6c261.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.01460%0 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked RE.Arise38c261.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.511,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed RE.Arise25c235.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595621.4%12 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0760…80f8backed RE.Arise59c214.75$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f1…aa6dbacked RE.Arise61c205.52$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.731216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-61.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Team Lynx45c202$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.956245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx51c200.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4489238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Team Lynx44c197.7$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.73944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cf…813cbacked RE.Arise59c186.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed RE.Arise54c172.57$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.031,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Team Lynx35c154.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.469239.1%36 W · 56 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed RE.Arise61c150.48$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9211344.2%50 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed RE.Arise33c149$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1710937.6%41 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec6…db1ebacked Team Lynx41c140.3$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.310557.1%60 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Team Lynx42c133.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5510138.6%39 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked RE.Arise52c132.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.831,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed Team Lynx40c129.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.933132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed RE.Arise58c125.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx65c123.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.61,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx75c111.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.152,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed RE.Arise58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5897142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Lynx39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6137754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Team Lynx47c94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.558254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x072e…df3abacked RE.Arise40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Lynx39c83.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7952950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked RE.Arise26c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.421742.9%93 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc08…5acdbacked Team Lynx56c73.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.721450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Lynx63c71.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3943860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3214…cfcbbacked Team Lynx42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616361.3%100 W · 63 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx47c68.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9581345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed RE.Arise32c62.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021344.1%94 W · 119 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked RE.Arise35c62.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7814343.4%62 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise60c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.868345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked RE.Arise61c54.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.015658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa16b…c4f0backed RE.Arise38c50.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed RE.Arise29c50.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6210833.3%36 W · 72 L-13.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Lynx44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2837832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked RE.Arise24c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5219737.1%73 W · 124 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Team Lynx77c48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.141369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Lynx38c48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7630251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed RE.Arise64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014566.2%96 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf066…3349backed Team Lynx47c46.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.54875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Team Lynx42c45.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Lynx63c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8264547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Team Lynx74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.413444%59 W · 75 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Team Lynx38c37.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.143145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked RE.Arise55c36.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.093745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Team Lynx50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.452646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked RE.Arise42c33.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0653538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed RE.Arise38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.440844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa211…c0e1backed RE.Arise51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Team Lynx38c27.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9526958.7%158 W · 111 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Lynx64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0356945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9f…fd02backed RE.Arise65c23.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx50c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Lynx51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3658943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…9fa1backed Team Lynx60c20.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.272365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed RE.Arise63c20.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9260349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed RE.Arise63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.614543.4%63 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed RE.Arise59c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.