Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1f156c912e671b95e948c73ee0f28cf9d30f6c045567cba1550a5bd7a1eb50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof RE.Arise, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Lynx | 54c | 17,522$9,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,091.28 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Team Lynx | 61c | 9,792$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 5,697$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.41 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Lynx | 54c | 5,508$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.58 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed RE.Arise | 49c | 4,040$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.6 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 3,238$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.12 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed RE.Arise | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.97 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Lynx | 53c | 1,904$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.27 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…bd22backed Team Lynx | 57c | 1,773$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.18 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed RE.Arise | 45c | 1,639$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Lynx | 52c | 1,447$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.54 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Lynx | 61c | 1,417$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.58 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RE.Arise | 49c | 1,287$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.77 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked RE.Arise | 48c | 1,123$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.6 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed RE.Arise | 45c | 1,028$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.19 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Lynx | 48c | 948.5$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.57 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed RE.Arise | 45c | 837$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed RE.Arise | 45c | 793.96$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed RE.Arise | 59c | 777$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked RE.Arise | 59c | 772.01$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed RE.Arise | 52c | 764.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…cc93backed RE.Arise | 45c | 720$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed RE.Arise | 45c | 677.18$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.73 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed RE.Arise | 65c | 674.35$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.33 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Lynx | 40c | 622.01$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.37 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked RE.Arise | 67c | 596.77$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 519$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed RE.Arise | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 34c | 493$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 490$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 466.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Lynx | 43c | 444.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 428.89$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed RE.Arise | 34c | 382.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Team Lynx | 38c | 357.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.45 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed RE.Arise | 45c | 354.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 29c | 339.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed RE.Arise | 45c | 326.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Team Lynx | 40c | 324.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed RE.Arise | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RE.Arise | 36c | 298.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed RE.Arise | 45c | 297.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed RE.Arise | 45c | 284$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise | 42c | 267$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 246.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Team Lynx | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…24babacked RE.Arise | 52c | 220.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked RE.Arise | 65c | 202.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed RE.Arise | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…9bf0backed RE.Arise | 43c | 192$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RE.Arise | 55c | 186.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…0f71backed Team Lynx | 57c | 176.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked RE.Arise | 54c | 176$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed RE.Arise | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 154.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 45c | 153$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed Team Lynx | 34c | 143$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RE.Arise | 49c | 137.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed RE.Arise | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Lynx | 43c | 114.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked RE.Arise | 34c | 114.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed RE.Arise | 64c | 111.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed RE.Arise | 22c | 110.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…1ac4backed RE.Arise | 52c | 109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Lynx | 42c | 104.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 104$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RE.Arise | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RE.Arise | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked RE.Arise | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed RE.Arise | 11c | 98.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…d554backed RE.Arise | 50c | 98.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed RE.Arise | 60c | 97.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 95.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 89.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed RE.Arise | 23c | 84.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked Team Lynx | 60c | 82.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 67.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…9634backed Team Lynx | 45c | 62.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RE.Arise | 55c | 60.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 53.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…75c2backed Team Lynx | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked RE.Arise | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a3…fad7backed Team Lynx | 44c | 47.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed RE.Arise | 45c | 46.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed RE.Arise | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed RE.Arise | 50c | 39.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed RE.Arise | 53c | 37.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | -16.0wins | -0.37per pick | 44cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 24-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Lynx | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 32.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…66ebbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 30.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…086fbacked RE.Arise | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed RE.Arise | 67c | 29.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Lynx | 43c | 29.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 28.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RE.Arise | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked RE.Arise | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb128…a3abbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 21.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group BTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.