TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f50…e12b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Inner Circle Prospect - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$157.5
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.14
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.36
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.41
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Raccoons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.32
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$89.08
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$103.47
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs ReThink - Map 2 Winnerbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$103.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs ReThink - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Dbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren - Map 1 Winnerbacked banda chuya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Counter-Strike: mellren vs VP.Prodigy - Map 2 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.3
Counter-Strike: mellren vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.25
Counter-Strike: TDK vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.88
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$234.3
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$61.04
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Honvéd - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$158.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.16
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Cbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.57
Map Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.28
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$69.22
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.94
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs ENJOY - Map 1 Winnerbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$71.92
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.5
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.07
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.56
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$112.82
Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.7
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$76.67
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs KW - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$85.26
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.05
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.39
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.36
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.92
Dota 2: by Owl Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffsbacked by Owl Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.68
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$141
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$49.59
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$95.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$101.85
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$89.86
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.17
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.07
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$85.54
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$18.67
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.51
Valorant: Barça eSports vs Ghools Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$31.68
Valorant: FOKUS vs Formulation Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.08
Valorant: SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$52.64
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs REJECT - Map 2 Winnerbacked REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.72
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.44
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$38.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.