TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Over49c7,968$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,071.341,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over64c6,542$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.1848944.4%217 W · 272 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under41c5,775$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.292,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under45c4,477$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.442,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over57c3,467$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.751,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under50c3,141$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.8823948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over60c2,359$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.161,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over45c1,943$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.3715031.3%47 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea30…8a00backed Under52c1,492$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7141450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over50c1,224$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.082,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under50c1,209$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.561,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under51c1,044$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.513351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105429.6%16 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010539%41 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over58c997.74$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.6619553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under52c822$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.441,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Over54c799.98$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.443959%23 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under37c771.4$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.363,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under50c770.38$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1952344.9%235 W · 288 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under34c758.28$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4930731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Under55c756.68$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7716155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under41c663.26$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.042,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under31c645.1$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.651,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Over56c638.53$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.2712639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under46c608.84$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3840543.7%177 W · 228 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over48c599.98$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9911344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed Under51c598.44$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.21540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Over49c589.71$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.756038.3%23 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e83…81d1backed Over50c549.62$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.194042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557839.7%31 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554060%24 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Under51c497.22$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Under51c479.63$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6111446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked Under55c432.55$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23816858.9%99 W · 69 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over34c420$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.257349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.491,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Under52c398.42$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1812451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c390.74$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.851,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under42c359.9$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.911,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under51c314.01$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.151,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b3…934ebacked Over35c310$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under52c301.44$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7554829.6%162 W · 386 L-36.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Under65c300.63$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4121765.4%142 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under48c299.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.672,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under49c296.3$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1947347.4%224 W · 249 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over34c293.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7135545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15063547.9%304 W · 331 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under51c282.03$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.762,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over55c279.84$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0528166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under51c275$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2520136.3%73 W · 128 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over45c265.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9941343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over48c260.2$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.228843.1%124 W · 164 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under63c205.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022748.9%111 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Under62c199.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.998342.2%35 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under44c196.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9882836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over50c187.82$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9830246.4%140 W · 162 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…a4a0backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825022%11 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Over53c174.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9131646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Under58c170.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9946552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under52c142.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.761,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Over55c137.55$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.557741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over37c135.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6916919.5%33 W · 136 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under31c127.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2150345.7%230 W · 273 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c118.34$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.492,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under51c117.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8434357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c116.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.671,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under63c116$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.086051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under47c114.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4441141.6%171 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046521.5%14 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b51…15d2backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485058%29 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1679…e5e1backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604168.3%28 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505961%36 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over50c99.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9257451.4%295 W · 279 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Under65c92.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed Over54c89.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.975438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over48c87.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4724643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe522…8c25backed Under70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409962.6%62 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over50c76.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2536044.7%161 W · 199 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over25c74.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.835223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec09…4c2fbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.229646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8934…afb3backed Under61c60.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.926650%33 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under50c57.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6379745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Under50c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58641.9%36 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c50.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked Over54c40.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,04944.6%468 W · 581 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1c…2e25backed Under71c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.68762.1%54 W · 33 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed Over50c37.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8836147.9%173 W · 188 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under52c36.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1112341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68b3…97c8backed Under61c35.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.557145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.