Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f126010a6976149764174fce6a66413b0da6a746df7123e14979ebc27c48fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 49c | 7,968$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.34 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 64c | 6,542$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.18 | 489 | 44.4%217 W · 272 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 41c | 5,775$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.29 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 4,477$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.44 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 57c | 3,467$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.75 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 50c | 3,141$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.88 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 60c | 2,359$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.16 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 45c | 1,943$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.37 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…8a00backed Under | 52c | 1,492$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 50c | 1,224$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.08 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 50c | 1,209$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under | 51c | 1,044$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 58c | 997.74$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.66 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 52c | 822$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.44 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Over | 54c | 799.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.44 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 37c | 771.4$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 50c | 770.38$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.19 | 523 | 44.9%235 W · 288 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 34c | 758.28$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.49 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Under | 55c | 756.68$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 663.26$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 31c | 645.1$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 56c | 638.53$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 46c | 608.84$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.38 | 405 | 43.7%177 W · 228 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 48c | 599.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed Under | 51c | 598.44$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…4542backed Over | 49c | 589.71$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.75 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…81d1backed Over | 50c | 549.62$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 51c | 497.22$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Under | 51c | 479.63$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.61 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Under | 55c | 432.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 34c | 420$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Under | 52c | 398.42$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 390.74$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 42c | 359.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 51c | 314.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…934ebacked Over | 35c | 310$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 52c | 301.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Under | 65c | 300.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 48c | 299.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 49c | 296.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 473 | 47.4%224 W · 249 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 34c | 293.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 635 | 47.9%304 W · 331 L | -16.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 282.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Over | 55c | 279.84$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 201 | 36.3%73 W · 128 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 45c | 265.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 48c | 260.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 63c | 205.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Under | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 44c | 196.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 187.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 302 | 46.4%140 W · 162 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…a4a0backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Over | 53c | 174.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Under | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 52c | 142.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Over | 55c | 137.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 37c | 135.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 31c | 127.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 503 | 45.7%230 W · 273 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 118.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 117.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 116.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 63c | 116$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 47c | 114.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…15d2backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…e5e1backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…90bfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 574 | 51.4%295 W · 279 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Under | 65c | 92.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Over | 54c | 89.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 48c | 87.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Under | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 76.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 360 | 44.7%161 W · 199 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 25c | 74.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…4c2fbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…afb3backed Under | 61c | 60.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 50c | 57.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Under | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 50.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Over | 54c | 40.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…2e25backed Under | 71c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…02e5backed Over | 50c | 37.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 361 | 47.9%173 W · 188 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 52c | 36.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Under | 61c | 35.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 4?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.