Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79a47adfa9f54821e1548498025aaae7d8ada563b6dcf2025026f5942dfed8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 18c | 5,706$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.7 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 19c | 2,118$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.42 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…9469backed Under | 30c | 1,446$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 17c | 455$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.65 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 12c | 376.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 18c | 293.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.42 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 36c | 286.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 66c | 227$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 18c | 209.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.17 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 22c | 141$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 21c | 119.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 13c | 109.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…15d2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 91.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 19c | 70.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed Over | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 27c | 56.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 68c | 55.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 22c | 46.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 69c | 38.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…02e5backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 356 | 47.5%169 W · 187 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 68c | 29.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 72c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 4?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.