Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x219c5d5463ce20fd88a36da06321579a6866bebd873da3bd22054447d0632f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof Bilibili Gaming, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Team WE | 38c | 4,256$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.46 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 3,229$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.83 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Team WE | 28c | 1,964$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.29 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 1,750$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team WE | 19c | 1,734$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.73 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Team WE | 18c | 966.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.67 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 810.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team WE | 18c | 742.58$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.02 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Team WE | 30c | 608.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.03 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team WE | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team WE | 40c | 498$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 489.91$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.93 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team WE | 26c | 449.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.37 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 436.64$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.15 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 373.91$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Team WE | 16c | 350$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 328.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Team WE | 18c | 250$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team WE | 16c | 236$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team WE | 19c | 178$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…1270backed Team WE | 19c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 15cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team WE | 18c | 116.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team WE | 17c | 101.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked Team WE | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Team WE | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 61.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team WE | 35c | 52.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…be83backed Team WE | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Team WE | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 24.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14f…aeecbacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 15.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 4?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.