CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c6075204e6eaa0dddd12ee3623895436d2e13875037bc4026f4877b9e5e7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Academyof ex-MANA eSports, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 76c | 11,035$8,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.22 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 27c | 8,087$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.67 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Inner Circle Academy | 79c | 6,298$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 3,480$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.21 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Inner Circle Academy | 72c | 1,285$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 1,001$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-MANA eSports | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed ex-MANA eSports | 12c | 898$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 800$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 745$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed ex-MANA eSports | 20c | 657.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 19c | 644$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 267$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed ex-MANA eSports | 11c | 246.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 225.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 15c | 214.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed ex-MANA eSports | 30c | 214$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 211.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-MANA eSports | 18c | 210.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MANA eSports | 25c | 198.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 197$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed ex-MANA eSports | 20c | 183.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 15c | 173$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 26c | 156.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed ex-MANA eSports | 30c | 156.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 30c | 151.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-MANA eSports | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 128$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 105.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-MANA eSports | 31c | 101.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed ex-MANA eSports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 98.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 98.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 85.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed ex-MANA eSports | 22c | 70.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Inner Circle Academy | 78c | 64.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-MANA eSports | 18c | 63.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 61.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Inner Circle Academy | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group BInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)Inner Circle Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.