CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49dbafd937a6e78bfe4a6f342f5e581334bab35e00f9375d917275aab75e974b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Academyof ex-MANA eSports, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 68c | 5,376$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.32 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 26c | 4,650$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.66 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-MANA eSports | 11c | 1,327$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked ex-MANA eSports | 20c | 599.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked ex-MANA eSports | 14c | 474.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 15c | 387.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 16c | 380.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Inner Circle Academy | 72c | 357.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 306.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ex-MANA eSports | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 18c | 295.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed ex-MANA eSports | 19c | 277$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Inner Circle Academy | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed ex-MANA eSports | 20c | 196.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 196.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 170.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 166$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Inner Circle Academy | 69c | 129.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-MANA eSports | 31c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed ex-MANA eSports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed ex-MANA eSports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Inner Circle Academy | 57c | 98.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 61c | 98.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 98.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Inner Circle Academy | 71c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed ex-MANA eSports | 36c | 38.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Inner Circle Academy | 53c | 29.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Inner Circle Academy | 67c | 29.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Inner Circle Academy | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group BInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)Inner Circle Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.