CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1fd8acb0a3ea83b3d645c80488935462b5113163f19983c88c21af9a332d956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Academyof Inner Circle Academy, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 52c | 1,288$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.64 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Inner Circle Academy | 53c | 582.25$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.9 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 509.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 473.64$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.35 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 83.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 82.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 81.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 64.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Inner Circle Academy | 56c | 56.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Inner Circle Academy | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group BInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.