Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe28671db533224a7075614b374a6e9a831dc1b5ddb574af14dde249ac33da25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 63c | 23,577$14,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,632.01 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Over | 37c | 7,805$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 36c | 5,530$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.8 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 62c | 3,569$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.19 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 59c | 2,893$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.54 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…2624backed Over | 38c | 2,470$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 39c | 1,805$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.55 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 63c | 1,639$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.42 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 36c | 1,592$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.13 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Over | 36c | 1,584$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.24 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 36c | 1,339$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.14 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Over | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Over | 36c | 1,078$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 66c | 1,013$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.33 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Over | 34c | 920.74$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 36c | 854.32$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.56 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 63c | 798.7$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Over | 36c | 739.96$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Under | 71c | 730.56$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 65c | 698.55$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 36c | 664.07$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.07 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 39c | 644.15$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 39c | 630$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 36c | 584.75$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Over | 43c | 516$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Under | 59c | 512.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Over | 38c | 477$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 45c | 465.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.49 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 36c | 450$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…5dbebacked Under | 60c | 384$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 36c | 335.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 25c | 291.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 41c | 280$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 34c | 278.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 39c | 264.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 39c | 248.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 71c | 207.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 35c | 190$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…0e9cbacked Over | 38c | 180.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Over | 36c | 172.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Over | 39c | 126.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…c08dbacked Under | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Over | 36c | 111.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 49c | 95.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 67c | 78.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 64c | 46.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 37c | 42.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…4a2cbacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…96fabacked Over | 37c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 45c | 23.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 324 | 47.5%154 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…c9d7backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…d13fbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Anyone's Legend won
- First Blood in Game 2?Anyone's Legend won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.