TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Anyone's Legendof JD Gaming, Anyone's Legend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,700 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x559b…4959backed Anyone's Legend72c6,502$4,682 inWon+$1,820.6423445.7%107 W · 127 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked JD Gaming27c6,226$1,708 inLost-$1,707.961,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Anyone's Legend74c2,000$1,480 inWon+$5203,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed JD Gaming28c1,812$507 inLost-$507.2523946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Anyone's Legend51c600$306 inWon+$2945851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked JD Gaming48c371.14$179 inLost-$179.4546452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Anyone's Legend59c343.06$201 inWon+$142.1397854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Anyone's Legend73c322.11$235 inWon+$86.971,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ac…9722backed JD Gaming29c300.42$87 inLost-$86.879944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked JD Gaming27c300$81 inLost-$816930.4%21 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15fa…f856backed Anyone's Legend75c288.59$217 inWon+$71.596060%36 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Anyone's Legend52c283.02$147 inWon+$135.8513336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Anyone's Legend71c277.68$197 inWon+$80.5331953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Anyone's Legend71c251.48$179 inWon+$72.931,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed JD Gaming29c247.97$72 inLost-$71.911,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed JD Gaming26c246.25$64 inLost-$64.312,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked JD Gaming25c200$50 inLost-$5016047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed JD Gaming28c178.57$50 inLost-$5056949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797c…2038backed JD Gaming54c169.26$91 inLost-$91.49446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked JD Gaming41c99.99$41 inLost-$40.5334742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed JD Gaming36c96.43$35 inLost-$3570443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked JD Gaming36c84.09$30 inLost-$30.1231439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Anyone's Legend46c82.22$38 inWon+$44.432442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked JD Gaming27c79.18$21 inLost-$21.381,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Anyone's Legend46c77.04$35 inWon+$41.662649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed JD Gaming26c76.92$20 inLost-$2055744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked JD Gaming24c55.59$13 inLost-$13.3460243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Anyone's Legend73c50$37 inWon+$13.537650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed JD Gaming26c48.08$12 inLost-$12.517847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…c297backed Anyone's Legend52c32.47$17 inWon+$15.646253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Anyone's Legend53c30.44$16 inWon+$14.1738555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe052…4a2cbacked Anyone's Legend74c30$22 inWon+$7.954852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Anyone's Legend74c27.5$20 inWon+$7.151,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Anyone's Legend74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.0314960.4%90 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Anyone's Legend72c20$14 inWon+$5.612741.7%53 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Anyone's Legend70c15.9$11 inWon+$4.7732555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.