TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x797c…2038

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT9446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$38.08
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,000
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,635.72
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.16
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$86.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.21
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,053.47
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$530.96
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.02
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$144.81
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$145.93
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+68%+$262.54
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+342.5%+$3,375.47
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$32.24
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$13.06
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.09
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$85.02
Mexico vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$50.77
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.85
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$101.21
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$277.42
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.08
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$26.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$31.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$15.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.85
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.