Spread: England (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec32ebe876603b516ab476336ad76b8e48831fdeeb4701b0acb1536772b15d5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mexicoof England, Mexico
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,779,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,781,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,779,214 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8d06…f79dbacked England	17c	86,572$14,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,717.31	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Mexico	74c	69,311$51,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,020.79	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked England	18c	51,704$9,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,055.61	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed England	17c	50,236$8,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,314.13	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Mexico	74c	39,650$29,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,124.48	142	50%71 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Mexico	74c	36,795$27,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,454.09	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed England	17c	33,574$5,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,644.88	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed England	16c	30,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England	19c	27,101$5,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,038.92	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England	22c	24,805$5,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,354.44	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked England	18c	23,105$4,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,068.4	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-7.9wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mexico	80c	22,664$18,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,643.85	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked England	16c	20,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Mexico	75c	19,609$14,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,902.28	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked England	25c	19,044$4,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,760.99	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Mexico	75c	18,655$13,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,685.54	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed England	16c	18,406$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mexico	77c	16,545$12,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,835.48	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked England	13c	15,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked England	26c	14,400$3,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,683.18	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Mexico	66c	13,168$8,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,441.01	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked England	25c	12,395$3,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,070.92	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed England	16c	12,232$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed England	17c	11,765$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Mexico	60c	11,468$6,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,553.82	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked England	25c	9,276$2,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,318.92	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Mexico	56c	9,068$5,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,965.28	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England	29c	8,540$2,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,505.67	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked England	32c	8,520$2,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,684.38	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked England	26c	7,692$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.92	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked England	23c	7,506$1,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,738.32	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England	18c	6,986$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.51	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked England	15c	6,877$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.49	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked England	28c	6,864$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2b…517fbacked England	16c	6,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed England	16c	6,156$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…96bfbacked Mexico	74c	6,000$4,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,549.09	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Mexico	59c	5,837$3,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,378.67	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed England	24c	5,751$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked England	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked England	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	175	44%77 W · 98 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked England	16c	5,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed England	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,549.99	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed England	25c	4,888$1,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,204.67	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed England	17c	4,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked England	16c	4,113$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked England	17c	4,081$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed England	17c	4,022$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.2	45	73.3%33 W · 12 L	+5.8wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfae4…299fbacked England	14c	4,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed England	25c	3,724$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.11	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England	24c	3,554$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.34	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed England	17c	3,529$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked England	49c	3,504$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.09	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mexico	70c	3,460$2,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.23	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked England	27c	3,451$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.49	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked England	16c	3,420$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.12	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked England	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked England	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505b…fbe0backed England	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9016…7d9dbacked England	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed England	16c	3,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.82	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Mexico	72c	3,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked England	20c	3,000$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.72	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed England	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked England	17c	2,941$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Mexico	75c	2,598$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.05	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England	18c	2,550$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked England	30c	2,536$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.98	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked England	18c	2,530$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.35	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d3…ac9dbacked Mexico	80c	2,510$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.8	38	73.7%28 W · 10 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked England	17c	2,500$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed England	53c	2,500$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.98	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e2…41b6backed England	17c	2,500$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.98	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed England	26c	2,327$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed England	15c	2,294$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	336	41.7%140 W · 196 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed England	17c	2,100$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Mexico	62c	2,082$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.62	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked England	18c	2,058$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.48	539	20.6%111 W · 428 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0002…25ffbacked England	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Mexico	75c	1,999$1,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked England	16c	1,875$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	96	30.2%29 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Mexico	75c	1,867$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.67	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed England	17c	1,857$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.69	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f0…9fc0backed England	32c	1,843$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.85	196	40.3%79 W · 117 L	+13.5wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde7e…396bbacked England	17c	1,800$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed England	28c	1,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mexico	44c	1,759$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.46	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked England	26c	1,731$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed England	2c	1,714$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.24	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8503…6666backed England	60c	1,700$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed England	16c	1,693$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.8	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed England	11c	1,685$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.48	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2e…34cbbacked Mexico	76c	1,667$1,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.43	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x521f…463fbacked England	17c	1,540$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.2	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed England	17c	1,529$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+28%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed England	16c	1,480$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.85	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed England	17c	1,435$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x474c…6625backed Mexico	49c	1,391$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.36	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked England	28c	1,361$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.66	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mexico	68c	1,352$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.36	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: England (-1.5)this page
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: England (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: England (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)England won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)England won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: England (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event