TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mexicoof England, Mexico
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$564,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$571,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked England4c86,229$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.1714553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed England10c51,322$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed England6c32,347$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England5c14,684$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.662,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked England9c11,490$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.4637223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed England25c8,065$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.329525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England5c8,017$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed England5c8,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3703327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked England6c7,533$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.981,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked England8c5,952$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.155832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed England4c4,444$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7614325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked England5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed England5c3,894$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England5c3,333$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6536123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked England5c3,248$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked England6c3,224$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4310911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Mexico75c3,200$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.412854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England7c2,730$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed England5c2,679$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2117659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed England4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked England4c2,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England6c2,100$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12660511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked England8c1,913$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed England4c1,633$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6752…5977backed England2c1,500$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.39219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-70.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cb…e963backed England5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559414.9%14 W · 80 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed England5c1,085$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked England5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed England5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked England20c1,000$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1917845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Mexico75c1,000$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2462979.3%23 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked England3c975.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.262,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked England25c936.58$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked England2c849.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.166819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked England10c839.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.81,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed England6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked England5c822.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…3d65backed England5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+125.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked England8c794.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.811,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed England6c771.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.595534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed England5c750$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed England2c747.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134626.1%12 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked England7c718.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked England4c700$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed England5c650$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed England9c630.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4538437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd915…e3f7backed England5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302425%6 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked England25c597.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked England8c552.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd7…aa43backed England5c546.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.332937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b1…27fcbacked England5c527.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc025…cb2bbacked England5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+481.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked England9c457.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda42…f325backed England4c445.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185928.8%17 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f5…0079backed England10c439.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.372227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b22…0c6fbacked England6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25718.5%6 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-58.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed England10c368.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4118628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed England25c356.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.987823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England8c340.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed England9c301.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9610133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed England4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdb…007bbacked England5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5f…7750backed England5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514325.9%37 W · 106 L+0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked England8c291.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.182,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked England5c284.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.214916.3%8 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked England5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.543635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed England5c249.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4947235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8585…eef1backed England15c245.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed England11c233.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7827227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked England5c211.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x608e…4d65backed England25c203.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508433.3%28 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefb8…135cbacked England5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104119.5%8 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked England5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014430.6%44 W · 100 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed England14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England24c177.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked England22c141.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123943.1%103 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked England21c126.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9266932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa050…1346backed England25c114.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked England16c113$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.472,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc7…0755backed England11c90.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked England14c88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked England25c75.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4616343.6%71 W · 92 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked England17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214444.4%64 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed England17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.239043.6%170 W · 220 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Mexico76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6315063.3%95 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.