TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$639,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$763,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under11c117,728$12,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,950.091,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under12c32,610$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.72,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under16c26,878$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,377.6236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under15c24,750$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.5164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under14c23,597$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under10c14,999$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8914232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under15c13,658$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under13c7,527$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under10c7,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under11c5,137$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under13c4,977$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.835719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under12c4,913$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.5219744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under15c4,899$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.413,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under14c4,752$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under11c4,378$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5834249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under12c4,176$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b17…672ebacked Under12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under10c4,116$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6336031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under12c3,534$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.458942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under11c3,527$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c3,299$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under11c3,231$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.361,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under11c3,135$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under11c2,586$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under12c2,423$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cfd…9227backed Under12c2,341$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under19c2,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20071638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24025445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under13c1,900$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2476930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under12c1,699$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1cf…7527backed Under12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under1c1,540$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under10c1,470$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14714219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Under12c1,436$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.314347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under11c1,300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14319825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under11c1,299$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over80c1,177$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.445653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under10c1,167$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.71,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under19c1,110$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.922639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under10c999.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under10c999.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9912224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under10c944.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under11c940.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.971,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under12c916.7$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.131,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under11c902$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2256022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Under10c871.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.385250%26 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under10c862.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2643635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under15c844.53$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.235162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ccb…05b3backed Under12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Under3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333%1 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under10c700$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7130137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under12c611.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3313223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under17c588.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007731.2%24 W · 53 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x283e…6381backed Under11c558.21$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.772429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5522746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Under11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554122%9 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under16c470$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4629450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under10c469.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.063,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ed…0b79backed Under12c437.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+73.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…d782backed Under12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under16c394$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0438437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Under8c391.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4217229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under11c339.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3130748.2%148 W · 159 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ab…110ebacked Under16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5544…fe9ebacked Under11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under15c296.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Under11c292.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2116449.4%81 W · 83 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under6c285.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4610715%16 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under10c223.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3532837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under16c221.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under6c220.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under10c217.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x685c…b626backed Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247815.4%12 W · 66 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed Over79c199.98$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210551.4%54 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x050d…e4f4backed Under11c183.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.233141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa5…0e06backed Under11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under11c150.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5210224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2143653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Under18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5814659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x034a…9ddcbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under14c109.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5930039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under14c104.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011560%69 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Under11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8780…4e7dbacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa3…5ddebacked Under12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.