Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a32c6d059383f1cb446d2f2f6312143d1c242ffabaf9b2c4ccb9c7603f488a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 62c | 8,781$5,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408.19 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 38c | 2,561$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.81 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 34c | 2,260$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.76 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 38c | 999.95$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 37c | 914.19$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.94 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Over | 37c | 619.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 62c | 488.87$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.57 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Under | 64c | 437.5$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed Over | 38c | 423.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.68 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 389.28$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.9 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 36c | 327.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 38c | 320$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 37c | 299.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 38c | 299.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 279.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…3bafbacked Under | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…be14backed Under | 62c | 194.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 63.4%151 W · 87 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…2d2ebacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 135.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 59c | 103.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b60…8b63backed Over | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 37c | 89.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 40c | 87.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 41c | 80.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 24c | 65.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 42c | 52.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 41c | 49.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 24c | 42.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 37c | 40.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 60c | 40.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 29.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 63c | 28.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…ce0dbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 60c | 21.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 63c | 20.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…a57bbacked Under | 62c | 20.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 67c | 19.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed Under | 63c | 17.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
- Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
- Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.