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Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,104 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c604.34$382 inWon+$222.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under45c407.75$183 inLost-$183.4953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x632c…06cbbacked Over55c313.53$172 inWon+$141.092425%6 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed Under45c245.61$112 inLost-$111.573145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb9…6f30backed Under50c240$120 inLost-$1202334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee9…d719backed Over51c239.05$122 inWon+$116.651546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over40c215$86 inWon+$12929338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over50c176.5$88 inWon+$88.2541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under47c167.16$79 inLost-$78.732,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under46c153.35$71 inLost-$70.541,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under60c135.13$81 inLost-$81.0814949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over55c108.22$60 inWon+$48.716535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under59c100.98$60 inLost-$59.9663745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a58…5fb7backed Over56c90$50 inWon+$39.65757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under47c73.58$35 inLost-$34.582,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…d266backed Over53c73.58$39 inWon+$34.589041.1%37 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e7…a00bbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.463441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under48c34.55$17 inLost-$16.5812344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e11…d36ebacked Under47c30$14 inLost-$14.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c24.54$12 inLost-$11.823,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae5f…a8b8backed Over54c24.07$13 inWon+$11.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb677…d46bbacked Over52c21.67$11 inWon+$10.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.