TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,480 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa202…4b82backed Under54c5,450$2,943 inLost-$2,942.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x895e…1b89backed Over46c5,450$2,507 inWon+$2,942.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc716…1a3cbacked Over46c750$345 inWon+$405333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a6…0407backed Under54c750$405 inLost-$405366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under43c536.19$228 inLost-$228.3258049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Over55c272.73$150 inWon+$122.7322343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under38c258.06$98 inLost-$98.0653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Over61c244.92$150 inWon+$94.9238933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe92…082dbacked Over60c128.33$77 inWon+$51.33875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…d266backed Over48c102.08$49 inWon+$53.089041.1%37 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Over58c100.93$58 inWon+$42.8823943.5%104 W · 135 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under52c86.5$45 inLost-$45.171,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7000…82b5backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon+$30.651973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under43c80.31$34 inLost-$34.152,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under43c80$34 inLost-$34.4441444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…cf38backed Over59c67.81$40 inWon+$27.8113636.8%50 W · 86 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under41c50$20 inLost-$20.4313530.4%41 W · 94 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Under42c48$20 inLost-$20.1627227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c33.45$18 inWon+$15.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Over60c30$18 inWon+$1211655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x616e…a666backed Over60c17$10 inWon+$6.82572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.