Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69080a569e1139d138339d8ed5a5365cfc89e7f442a15a64ac5218d6363509cd

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $64,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,394 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	79c	10,625$8,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,212.44	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	18c	4,201$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.45	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes	23c	2,196$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	7c	2,128$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.86	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked Yes	20c	2,074$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.75	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	19c	1,642$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.02	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	7c	1,200$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.26	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes	22c	1,091$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	19c	999.93$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.99	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	21c	974$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.54	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes	10c	899.98$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	288	8%23 W · 265 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	20c	862.67$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.48	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8525…46d6backed Yes	24c	729.94$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	79c	706.31$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.55	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes	20c	664.96$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed No	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	153	35.3%54 W · 99 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2915…9d85backed Yes	19c	527.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…68f9backed Yes	23c	521.74$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84c…be06backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	483	34.2%165 W · 318 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	78c	473.88$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.25	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…7568backed Yes	20c	456.1$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.22	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc749…626dbacked Yes	24c	419.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes	23c	410.35$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.38	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed No	77c	400$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3838…2088backed Yes	13c	393.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	19c	382.81$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.96	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	10c	298.17$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3e…fcc5backed Yes	21c	286.56$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes	20c	275$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	100	38%38 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Yes	18c	268$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	124	17.7%22 W · 102 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed No	78c	256.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…f12cbacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8f…2025backed Yes	19c	250$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	360	38.1%137 W · 223 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	135	43.7%59 W · 76 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e41…cbabbacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	22c	230$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf993…8b10backed Yes	19c	223.95$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes	23c	220.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0e7…6bc0backed Yes	19c	210.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc362…3d85backed Yes	21c	209.52$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f9…b000backed Yes	23c	204.35$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	17c	202.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.91	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	150	50.7%76 W · 74 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	80c	199.75$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.95	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cb…3fc3backed Yes	21c	196.43$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Yes	21c	190.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	200	25.5%51 W · 149 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4b97backed Yes	23c	175.78$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.33	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Yes	14c	169$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.32	181	18.2%33 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes	15c	165.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b36…d80cbacked Yes	18c	161.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No	78c	150.73$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.16	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40fb…3bd7backed Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0b…9cb1backed Yes	8c	149.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed1…227fbacked Yes	8c	137.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes	20c	130$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes	20c	125$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes	18c	122.21$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.57	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafce…db52backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	18c	118.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.33	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	85	22.4%19 W · 66 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes	13c	110$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Yes	21c	109.52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b0…b6e1backed Yes	15c	106.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	19c	105.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d6…a011backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	170	20%34 W · 136 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd744…9f71backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	36.2%21 W · 37 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	109	33%36 W · 73 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc392…511bbacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.19per pick	25cpaid	+179.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffe…4071backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c11…9bc6backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6349…b664backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf6…adafbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…e42abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb902…10c0backed Yes	19c	99.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	46.7%70 W · 80 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	113	23%26 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x620e…d3c3backed Yes	20c	91.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	30.7%31 W · 70 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99b…5ddcbacked Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	22cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5629…de17backed Yes	23c	90$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d7…9b81backed Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed Yes	20c	82.54$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.62	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cb…1230backed Yes	19c	78.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x370a…cd77backed Yes	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	91	40.7%37 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x738e…8a0fbacked Yes	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	73c	68.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.66	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa835…216dbacked Yes	18c	65.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1a…0db5backed Yes	19c	63.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 0.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5Over won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5Under won
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland won
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spread: England (-1.5)Mexico won
Spread: England (-2.5)Mexico won
Spread: England (-3.5)Mexico won
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)England won
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)England won
Spread: Mexico (-3.5)England won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event