TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c11…9bc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$13.51
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$10.89
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.7
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$60.44
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.33
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.