TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,856,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,124,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,856,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4608…d049backed Yes5c83,748$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.79190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a5…4dd9backed Yes0c83,102$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.13190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes1c66,444$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.95128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-62.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c66,063$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.896142.6%26 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes12c60,000$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,02020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes2c48,207$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.67329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes3c41,395$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.0723319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes7c40,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-62.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes12c40,000$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7302729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes0c27,653$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.61618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes1c25,995$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.96687.4%5 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed16…ad27backed Yes1c22,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes12c22,000$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.9890%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes1c21,196$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.87437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99f…8742backed Yes6c20,902$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Yes4c20,335$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.17254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a16…33dbbacked Yes12c16,283$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c13,370$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.96521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes4c12,377$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3222546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes10c11,399$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes13c11,368$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.1711712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes6c10,883$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.9414043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes4c10,733$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.85442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Yes10c10,617$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0861010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Yes12c10,265$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f42…205bbacked Yes1c10,210$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b99…9f1dbacked Yes1c10,170$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d9…ec6bbacked Yes1c10,157$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5b…6d8abacked Yes1c10,120$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes11c9,900$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.11120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cff…3abdbacked Yes1c9,664$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes7c9,333$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.27671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c34…ec8cbacked Yes7c6,752$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes1c6,723$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.57130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a1…d1e4backed Yes12c6,600$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Yes8c6,448$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7e…6695backed Yes1c6,394$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes2c5,704$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0411412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85dd…62d4backed Yes2c5,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…2cebbacked Yes6c5,559$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.17128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-64%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed Yes8c5,086$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd5…567bbacked Yes6c4,995$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300160%0 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes2c4,619$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.231168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes1c4,545$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.658429.8%25 W · 59 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Yes1c4,400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes5c4,326$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.32616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93c…4bf1backed Yes12c4,194$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c4,116$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.722953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes1c4,108$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.122441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes2c4,050$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.65283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5acd…c079backed Yes1c3,988$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9680%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes6c3,830$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…e040backed Yes7c3,784$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.76714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db9…cb54backed Yes6c3,753$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22580%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0926…4624backed Yes1c3,750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes4c3,643$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.19310%0 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x452b…3ab2backed Yes1c3,601$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a9…4765backed Yes12c3,502$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9581…fd61backed Yes8c3,336$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ab…0893backed Yes12c3,205$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes0c3,141$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes11c3,091$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c3,083$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.75440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes12c3,000$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fc…2f27backed Yes1c2,804$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes1c2,768$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.821010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-81.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes8c2,762$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210287.1%2 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes0c2,736$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-86.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41b…41ddbacked Yes1c2,711$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Yes1c2,699$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Yes11c2,658$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8577…1531backed Yes4c2,576$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes6c2,556$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-63.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes12c2,522$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes1c2,495$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37350%0 W · 35 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7011…9b5bbacked Yes12c2,315$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c0e…b4fbbacked Yes4c2,243$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d79…268fbacked Yes4c2,187$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ef…ed56backed Yes0c2,156$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-73.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes14c2,120$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes1c2,066$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4478.5%4 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-67.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…c448backed Yes2c2,052$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes12c2,002$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.968118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bce…df79backed Yes7c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked Yes6c2,000$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-84.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes1c1,975$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.29829.8%8 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-68.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Yes12c1,966$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b5…57ddbacked Yes6c1,865$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes1c1,800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9250%0 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e1…e15bbacked Yes2c1,769$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick4cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes6c1,736$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-79.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6229…8390backed Yes12c1,725$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes1c1,715$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+75.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a528backed Yes3c1,702$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3906…7556backed Yes6c1,699$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5925…b194backed Yes12c1,697$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes3c1,649$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.076334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b5…8d41backed Yes7c1,649$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.81540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes12c1,613$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.