TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$990,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $990,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc675…2ff3backed Yes0c179,834$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Yes1c117,187$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.871414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-70.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x401e…467dbacked Yes2c63,488$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14af…3923backed Yes0c35,004$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes0c30,100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.81205%1 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x749d…d80ebacked Yes0c29,121$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…8497backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes1c20,135$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.76260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f0…d70dbacked Yes1c19,800$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722c…624fbacked Yes1c15,385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes4c12,531$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.19382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c11,214$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.58437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes1c10,468$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.916334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes1c10,271$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-75.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…0bd6backed Yes1c10,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes1c9,081$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7d…9eeabacked Yes1c8,795$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5460%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes1c8,542$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.084613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c7,667$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.152953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes0c7,001$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4411412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…cabcbacked Yes2c7,000$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes0c6,758$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd5…567bbacked Yes2c5,233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100160%0 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc02…97b7backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-90.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e28…b3adbacked Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes2c4,962$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.17214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-86.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes1c4,899$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.094810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1639…78cabacked Yes4c4,820$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167f…746bbacked Yes0c4,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked Yes2c4,058$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick6cpaid+92.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b79…7324backed Yes1c3,848$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-61.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c3,815$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.131168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x867a…1bb1backed Yes0c3,562$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569c…140dbacked Yes3c3,498$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.360%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52e…6104backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212010%2 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-86.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes1c2,590$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.18120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Yes3c2,426$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.79119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-87.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d16…2848backed Yes2c2,336$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2250%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes1c2,307$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7185…4896backed Yes1c2,297$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd98f…5d9abacked Yes2c2,275$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked Yes1c2,200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-84.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes5c2,150$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-79.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a4…ca01backed Yes2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ff…c345backed Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62f…dc2bbacked Yes1c2,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3e…8bfebacked Yes1c1,818$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28fb…cf9bbacked Yes5c1,800$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Yes3c1,786$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3f…a97fbacked Yes1c1,771$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0290%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48e…b85abacked Yes1c1,613$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-89.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes1c1,600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a70…27debacked Yes1c1,556$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c1,498$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68310%0 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes2c1,495$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5814043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes1c1,438$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes1c1,404$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd131…9422backed Yes1c1,268$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93330%0 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9d…bf8dbacked Yes3c1,200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.09119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-72.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes2c1,195$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5270%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd707…89d6backed Yes5c1,163$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.78616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd132…6b74backed Yes1c1,097$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6050…80d6backed Yes2c1,014$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270e…eb03backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5121…49edbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9742…787fbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…e134backed Yes5c983.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52258%2 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b04…a7eabacked Yes3c900$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes3c800$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.75320%0 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x618f…3c13backed Yes5c756.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Yes2c750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7855…e8dcbacked Yes1c735.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2db…fe49backed Yes1c724.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ba…a58dbacked Yes5c709.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7350%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b32…08b0backed Yes3c660.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7870%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes4c560.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.13166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-74.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8561…337bbacked Yes4c514.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-62.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…b9ecbacked Yes4c486.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0960%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8772…e179backed Yes3c443.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-81.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a96…b0cdbacked Yes5c412.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…fd8abacked Yes3c365.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes6c276.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba92…2258backed Yes8c255.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…e4e8backed Yes4c243.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Yes5c221.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes6c220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf720…1df4backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-57.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.