TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9742…787f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$213.16
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+280.6%+$420.84
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+338.3%+$121.77
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.61
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+900%+$170.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$277.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.