TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,753 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…1122backed Yes2c13,266$259 inLost-$259.33130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes1c12,633$104 inLost-$104.0911412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1449…a618backed Yes1c8,913$107 inLost-$106.961811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-80.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes2c4,173$100 inLost-$100352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1616…1c4ebacked Yes1c4,167$50 inLost-$50277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Yes1c2,857$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea8…6d62backed Yes1c2,167$26 inLost-$26214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-90.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Yes1c2,129$23 inLost-$23.4280%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes2c2,104$34 inLost-$34240%0 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc97d…732bbacked Yes1c2,042$14 inLost-$13.511323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+153.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Yes4c1,705$60 inLost-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+187.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Yes1c1,600$19 inLost-$19.2100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes1c1,540$22 inLost-$22.1211712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Yes3c1,422$48 inLost-$48.38200%0 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x264f…3a66backed Yes4c1,404$50 inLost-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…5844backed Yes2c1,281$25 inLost-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes1c1,250$15 inLost-$15515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid+17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes3c1,217$33 inLost-$32.634918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4889…359ebacked Yes4c1,000$37 inLost-$37100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9742…787fbacked Yes3c960.53$30 inLost-$302711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…b7b9backed Yes1c835.29$11 inLost-$11130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes1c815.62$10 inLost-$10258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…a1edbacked Yes3c612.5$20 inLost-$20100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bd…8052backed Yes3c552.46$14 inLost-$14.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.