Golf · resolved market
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9966487ab08c1771d2968eab69ca77e2c65169327920998ce5c935e7cb1e3d8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 8c | 33,996$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,363.43 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 53c | 31,702$16,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,829.26 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 31c | 27,677$8,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,089.1 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 33c | 15,909$5,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 66c | 10,808$7,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,110.14 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 19c | 9,455$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,691.1 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -23.7wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 16c | 8,102$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.04 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 9c | 6,850$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +296.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…b861backed No | 2c | 6,094$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf5…7898backed Yes | 5c | 5,597$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,296.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +273.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 32c | 4,514$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 4,372$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.3 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…d475backed Yes | 10c | 3,824$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.82 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 80c | 3,476$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.57 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…31e6backed No | 52c | 3,378$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 43c | 2,898$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.79 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…f0b4backed Yes | 68c | 2,505$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 53c | 2,199$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.39 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 38c | 2,171$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 53c | 2,025$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.41 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 72c | 1,992$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 35c | 1,942$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Yes | 6c | 1,738$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 45c | 1,669$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.75 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…ecb1backed No | 34c | 1,652$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed No | 37c | 1,625$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…8d01backed Yes | 68c | 1,452$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…cf29backed Yes | 30c | 1,431$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 1,375$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,262$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.25 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3bc2backed Yes | 8c | 1,210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,196$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…4b43backed Yes | 76c | 1,195$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 59c | 1,173$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 23c | 1,171$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,157$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 6c | 1,096$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.95 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…5b25backed Yes | 4c | 1,067$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.07 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…0d17backed No | 32c | 988.31$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 8c | 983$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…2072backed Yes | 12c | 961.64$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes | 69c | 958.4$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…f89cbacked Yes | 17c | 900$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 8c | 870.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Yes | 3c | 864.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.03 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 45c | 816.34$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.11 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 72c | 742.33$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 66c | 716$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Yes | 5c | 714.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +487.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 71c | 686.8$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 59c | 651.83$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 34c | 640.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 77c | 628.22$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 53c | 608.22$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.36 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…f1d3backed Yes | 4c | 600$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +358.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked No | 10c | 596.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 61c | 536.86$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Yes | 25c | 535.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 6c | 531.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.54 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…8837backed Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +219.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Yes | 14c | 474.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4721backed No | 11c | 466.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 39c | 449.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…9749backed Yes | 6c | 438.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +95%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 30c | 434$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…94b8backed Yes | 5c | 431.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 429$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 9c | 406.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbf…1103backed No | 10c | 406.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes | 5c | 404.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.66 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.08 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 26c | 392.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…34f6backed Yes | 66c | 392.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 13c | 387.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 371$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed No | 10c | 352.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 61c | 326.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes | 60c | 315.37$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 5c | 299.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 46c | 299$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Yes | 72c | 276.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 52c | 245.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…7226backed Yes | 5c | 236.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa7…9cd9backed Yes | 66c | 225.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…78acbacked Yes | 48c | 219.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…4b14backed Yes | 30c | 215.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 16c | 208$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…dd9bbacked Yes | 40c | 192.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Yes | 11c | 188.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +214.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…4706backed No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b3…7a56backed Yes | 53c | 172.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 25c | 168.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 9c | 167.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 116 | 8.6%10 W · 106 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…97acbacked Yes | 6c | 167.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?this page
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Alex Noren win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Daniel Brown win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Haotong Li win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sam Burns win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.