Golf · resolved market

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47321194e0a958ebb03ca67d23bb59c408da9b9b466fe3c6aa4319240c702dba

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $65,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,778 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes	0c	9,783$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes	2c	5,900$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Yes	4c	5,000$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	3,300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes	4c	2,557$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes	4c	2,375$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10b…8ec6backed Yes	4c	2,008$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes	4c	1,800$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Yes	4c	1,700$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.9	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e92…b924backed Yes	4c	1,325$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes	4c	1,266$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes	4c	1,153$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea8…6d62backed Yes	4c	825$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-90.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes	3c	657.3$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	4c	620$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.09	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-23.7wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4047…b217backed Yes	4c	600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes	4c	600$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e83…0523backed Yes	4c	599.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	4c	563.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4023…96dfbacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9c…142bbacked Yes	4c	497.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd856…f532backed Yes	4c	476.75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…ecc1backed Yes	5c	344.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffa7…9cd9backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94a4…6f8fbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…c49ebacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event