Golf · resolved market

Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72fa7a38967e0bb57d551fc38aa19151d81a298de24e7b06f3da5b827cfc3111

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,931 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe507…1258backed Yes	4c	12,608$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.62	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes	3c	10,404$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes	4c	7,750$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.11	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1449…a618backed Yes	3c	7,260$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.02	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	3c	6,492$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.29	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes	2c	5,434$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.02	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	2c	3,795$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.36	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-92.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ae…66f6backed Yes	3c	3,735$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,675$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f05…5cf7backed Yes	4c	3,311$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes	3c	3,148$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10b…8ec6backed Yes	3c	2,779$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes	3c	2,361$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	2,326$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…62bebacked Yes	1c	2,055$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…21ebbacked Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88f4…874abacked Yes	3c	1,852$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes	1c	1,722$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3b…8a31backed Yes	4c	1,719$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf356…f7d4backed Yes	4c	1,332$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Yes	3c	1,300$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	35cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ebe…bfc2backed No	4c	1,200$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.97per pick	4cpaid	+2,757.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	3c	1,023$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.71	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-23.7wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	4c	1,020$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.58	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes	2c	1,012$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Yes	3c	1,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-94%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffa7…9cd9backed Yes	3c	940.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	4c	900$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes	4c	850.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea8…6d62backed Yes	3c	800$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-90.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes	3c	505.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a0…0495backed Yes	3c	426.06$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf032…ffaabacked Yes	5c	408.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	4c	362.79$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…cf07backed Yes	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…df78backed Yes	5c	312.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	9cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event