Golf · resolved market
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x282031187c26e990113ab6bd0752bd43fb2b1b0f95ca600ec4aa9ab81242dbf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 2c | 19,674$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 5c | 10,765$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Yes | 5c | 10,765$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…4aaabacked Yes | 6c | 7,874$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Yes | 6c | 5,442$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…d475backed Yes | 1c | 5,382$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9414…53c9backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…3990backed Yes | 6c | 4,500$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Yes | 2c | 3,910$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 3,675$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…2415backed Yes | 2c | 3,508$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,413$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 233 | 19.3%45 W · 188 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 5c | 3,351$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,298$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…f4c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,795$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,343$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…01f8backed Yes | 6c | 1,642$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 1,592$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…134fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,524$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 2c | 1,338$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 1c | 1,337$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 2c | 1,088$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Yes | 5c | 897.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…a618backed Yes | 4c | 861.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 6c | 800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 4c | 760.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 4c | 639$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -23.7wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 5c | 633.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 615.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Yes | 2c | 547.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Yes | 7c | 456.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…a1edbacked Yes | 6c | 387.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 5c | 384.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…a695backed Yes | 6c | 378.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 4c | 361.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Yes | 8c | 360.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +214.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…359ebacked Yes | 3c | 359.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867a…1bb1backed Yes | 7c | 335.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4864…627cbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…0cd2backed Yes | 7c | 285.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 6c | 269.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 6c | 252.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Yes | 6c | 246.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…4d2fbacked Yes | 6c | 230.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Yes | 5c | 191.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Yes | 6c | 170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?this page
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes won
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Alex Noren win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Daniel Brown win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Haotong Li win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sam Burns win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
- Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 PGA Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.