Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d5097436385c29f68880f20f57a834460938688e16a13398208ec45f107bd46

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $848,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $741,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $848,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0eaa…c521backed Yes	22c	120,006$26,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,207.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	79c	75,739$59,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,182.28	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Yes	9c	64,264$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes	13c	40,000$5,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,197.18	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	14c	28,570$3,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,860	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes	13c	20,020$2,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,562.6	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes	1c	15,777$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.73	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.21per pick	26cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3379…f0b4backed Yes	3c	15,000$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	14c	14,972$2,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,083.37	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-23.7wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes	12c	12,871$1,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.17	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	15c	11,932$1,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,766.6	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8f…c553backed Yes	10c	10,693$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes	2c	10,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes	11c	9,564$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.83	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes	6c	9,393$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa926…eb7abacked Yes	4c	9,317$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.37	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No	79c	8,391$6,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,754.73	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Yes	12c	7,002$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Yes	14c	7,000$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes	1c	6,085$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Yes	3c	6,063$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes	3c	5,999$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.97	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…3335backed Yes	6c	5,348$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.47	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	13c	5,249$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Yes	14c	5,175$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.72	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b16…961fbacked Yes	14c	5,003$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes	2c	4,633$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.32	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+196.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes	4c	4,251$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5eb…c512backed Yes	5c	4,062$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.45	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f72…8d01backed Yes	12c	4,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes	14c	3,902$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.58	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Yes	9c	3,685$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd793…1c4abacked Yes	10c	3,600$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes	14c	3,444$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.7	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes	15c	3,383$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes	9c	3,111$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eef…80edbacked Yes	15c	3,085$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	11cpaid	+614.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b08…dd9bbacked Yes	3c	3,034$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.89	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Yes	12c	2,900$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes	3c	2,857$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Yes	17c	2,775$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	2,725$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	12c	2,700$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.5	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…f584backed Yes	2c	2,695$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.97	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…d268backed Yes	4c	2,500$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd936…cf3abacked Yes	8c	2,477$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes	10c	2,400$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85dd…62d4backed Yes	4c	2,392$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,382$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.62	297	4%12 W · 285 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5255…6e58backed Yes	2c	2,370$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes	5c	2,143$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes	12c	2,120$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d1…dabdbacked Yes	7c	2,116$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf139…1d3bbacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes	3c	1,939$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.4	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	11c	1,889$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.86	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb31a…3458backed Yes	5c	1,852$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	6c	1,766$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.29	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes	11c	1,710$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.94	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	8cpaid	+197.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x978b…34f6backed Yes	3c	1,555$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.34	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14af…3923backed Yes	13c	1,539$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes	13c	1,500$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.5	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes	5c	1,491$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.56	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcb…e6e4backed Yes	2c	1,484$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	15c	1,471$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.19	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f6…13e9backed Yes	3c	1,416$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…a48fbacked Yes	13c	1,388$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.52	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-53%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	7c	1,358$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.22	116	8.6%10 W · 106 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+133.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes	12c	1,269$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.63	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes	9c	1,258$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d57…c5b6backed Yes	2c	1,250$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…94f7backed Yes	2c	1,209$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	1,200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	1,179$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	9c	1,178$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.17	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc050…067dbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Yes	9c	1,106$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c4…a129backed Yes	13c	1,071$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.13	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f06…3ee7backed Yes	6c	1,069$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5e…1ff4backed Yes	2c	1,053$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x823e…903abacked Yes	12c	1,039$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes	2c	1,028$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Yes	15c	1,014$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes	14c	1,003$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.34	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe532…7097backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes	9c	965.29$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.41	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x428b…5b25backed Yes	13c	929.61$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes	13c	909.84$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1332…2b23backed Yes	11c	900$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+92.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…9e1bbacked Yes	13c	899.99$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…75edbacked Yes	8c	889.67$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.74	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	4cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc9…c555backed Yes	12c	883.02$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.15	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes	3c	865.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	3cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea8…6d62backed Yes	11c	854.82$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.59	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-90.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e1…2f80backed Yes	3c	852.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	13c	840.57$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.72	74	6.8%5 W · 69 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Yes	11c	818.18$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d22…e2bbbacked Yes	12c	806.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Yes	17c	788$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.7	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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