TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d22…e2bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.59
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$466.67
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$464.29
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.78
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$160.03
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.32
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+284.7%+$635.79
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$84.49
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$85.48
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$124.25
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$142.56
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+212.5%+$140.85
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.37
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.51
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.69
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$117.73
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$89.24
Open Sud de France: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+383.1%+$153.24
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovicbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shangbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+159%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,725
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+206.3%+$247.51
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+234%+$117
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+167.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.