NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7b858bcd484321e2d605e1baca78d4c05500dbd1734d0c22750bf57bbfe46f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 5.5of Over 5.5, Under 5.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over 5.5 | 23c | 10,177$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.69 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…4526backed Under 5.5 | 75c | 4,678$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under 5.5 | 77c | 4,076$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.93 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Under 5.5 | 72c | 2,817$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.63 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under 5.5 | 70c | 1,902$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.16 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Over 5.5 | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47b9…3ca2backed Under 5.5 | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed Over 5.5 | 31c | 1,094$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Over 5.5 | 22c | 1,007$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over 5.5 | 21c | 979.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…6862backed Over 5.5 | 30c | 882.58$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…64b0backed Under 5.5 | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Over 5.5 | 25c | 762$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Over 5.5 | 22c | 700.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Under 5.5 | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Under 5.5 | 73c | 596.44$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…b317backed Over 5.5 | 22c | 455.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Over 5.5 | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…330ebacked Over 5.5 | 22c | 397.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…d90cbacked Under 5.5 | 73c | 397.26$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…e2bbbacked Over 5.5 | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under 5.5 | 73c | 325.92$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over 5.5 | 28c | 299.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Under 5.5 | 74c | 270.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Under 5.5 | 75c | 261.39$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…2937backed Over 5.5 | 13c | 235$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under 5.5 | 74c | 232.54$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…902dbacked Over 5.5 | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…9d02backed Under 5.5 | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Under 5.5 | 74c | 202.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…c05cbacked Under 5.5 | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…d937backed Under 5.5 | 71c | 183.07$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…0179backed Over 5.5 | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…b54abacked Over 5.5 | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over 5.5 | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…af78backed Under 5.5 | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…4a6bbacked Over 5.5 | 25c | 142.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under 5.5 | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Over 5.5 | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Over 5.5 | 25c | 127.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…4dc9backed Over 5.5 | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1019backed Over 5.5 | 32c | 104.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Over 5.5 | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under 5.5 | 73c | 89.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…8976backed Over 5.5 | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…8720backed Over 5.5 | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e56…a2e9backed Over 5.5 | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Under 5.5 | 70c | 73.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over 5.5 | 27c | 69.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…b6dbbacked Over 5.5 | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…4e8ebacked Under 5.5 | 74c | 60.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…bf9ebacked Under 5.5 | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…d990backed Over 5.5 | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…b8eabacked Under 5.5 | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…84bfbacked Over 5.5 | 30c | 42.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d6…6f87backed Under 5.5 | 74c | 39.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Under 5.5 | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Over 5.5 | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Under 5.5 | 74c | 24.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…0f23backed Under 5.5 | 72c | 20.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under 5.5 | 79c | 13.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.