TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e44…9d02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$321
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.72
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+532.9%+$252.6
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$74
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.4
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.93
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.43
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$45
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$31.25
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$258.72
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$662.41
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.88
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39.64
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.35
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
United States to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+224.8%+$65.19
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.52
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.13
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2025%5 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.3%+$131.81
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+211.6%+$194.67
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$95.02
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46.7
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$61.07
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$43.39
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28.1
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.33
Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$110.31
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.36
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.25
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.98
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 20 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.08
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.22
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$128
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$112.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37.8%+$47.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.