NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b82e214b0b0a1f012cc07920395fecbcd5db9607f54470592dd4b627595943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 5.5of Over 5.5, Under 5.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Over 5.5 | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Over 5.5 | 5c | 1,211$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…8275backed Over 5.5 | 61c | 1,200$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Over 5.5 | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…5ca6backed Over 5.5 | 36c | 489.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…6862backed Under 5.5 | 39c | 416.35$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over 5.5 | 59c | 380.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over 5.5 | 10c | 341.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Under 5.5 | 50c | 319.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over 5.5 | 49c | 280.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Over 5.5 | 62c | 209.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under 5.5 | 38c | 203.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Under 5.5 | 72c | 198.36$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…bc50backed Under 5.5 | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Under 5.5 | 26c | 152.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Under 5.5 | 38c | 148.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under 5.5 | 51c | 142.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Over 5.5 | 20c | 139.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Over 5.5 | 11c | 110.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under 5.5 | 39c | 108.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over 5.5 | 59c | 106.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over 5.5 | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Over 5.5 | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under 5.5 | 50c | 83.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…9d02backed Over 5.5 | 59c | 71.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…4f61backed Over 5.5 | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…4320backed Under 5.5 | 41c | 49.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…1d83backed Under 5.5 | 41c | 49.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Over 5.5 | 35c | 44.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under 5.5 | 42c | 40.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…9dc0backed Over 5.5 | 61c | 39.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Under 5.5 | 52c | 38.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…b241backed Under 5.5 | 65c | 37.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…b6b6backed Under 5.5 | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Under 5.5 | 52c | 27.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…3520backed Over 5.5 | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Over 5.5 | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Over 5.5 | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9014backed Over 5.5 | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked Under 5.5 | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.