TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf96c…9014

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: World Politics, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 64 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5756.1%32 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.39
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$21.15
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+81%+$116.41
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+184.9%+$19.47
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$8.6
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Over 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$25.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$12.59
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.66
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+680.5%+$112.29
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$19.4
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.39
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$106.6
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$5.39
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$11.42
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.9
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+207.5%+$459.24
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+146.9%+$59.5
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+123.6%+$28.71
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69%+$360.7
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$12.01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+141%+$58.5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$54.8
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.44
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$40.99
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.62
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.01
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.09
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will James Clark be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.38
Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
Will Kevin Wilson be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$91.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.99
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.76
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.1
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.45
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.62
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$193.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+98.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$120.14
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$32.88
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82.62
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.51
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$88.89
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$63.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$648.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+101.9%+$24.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.