TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$665,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$784,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c63,644$20,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,586.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c50,505$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over6c48,393$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.1324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c36,153$22,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,177.924,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Under67c33,796$22,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,024.26757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over63c25,930$16,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,209.182,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under56c19,437$10,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,508.6641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Over61c19,266$11,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,751.9820448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under39c10,681$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,515.432751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under39c10,501$4,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,361.2117642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over17c10,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.993625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under38c10,338$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,409.0123949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cd…a98dbacked Under39c10,256$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.411450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under77c9,802$7,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.962,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under58c8,614$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.033342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under62c8,144$5,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.5537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c8,137$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over62c8,065$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over62c8,065$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c8,012$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8352,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c7,666$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.5175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under38c7,645$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,739.5970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Over48c7,201$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.745040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under38c6,471$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.3613746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under72c6,326$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.5264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under71c5,741$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.2336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over58c5,582$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.5523230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over40c5,061$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.9727032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.984452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.986947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2312…016fbacked Under39c4,633$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under77c4,345$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.0330054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under37c3,844$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.78458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over1c3,755$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over62c3,500$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under43c3,499$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.0313731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9329…035dbacked Over58c3,463$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e37…284dbacked Over48c3,368$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+85.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9925537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over62c2,978$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.519037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under38c2,715$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.231,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under38c2,631$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.465930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Over28c2,605$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.342532%8 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5506749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under41c2,414$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.1310356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Over1c2,390$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over1c2,223$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c2,222$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.742,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under59c2,211$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.3319649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over20c2,170$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.023735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over1c2,166$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6438819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over49c2,132$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0403852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under76c2,038$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Over1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Over62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2409241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9924635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.974856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7be…4b60backed Under38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.971963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c1,989$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2412,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over36c1,883$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.6625339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over62c1,873$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.563,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Under38c1,842$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.115925.4%15 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under55c1,794$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over59c1,713$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01412853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa496…0f5abacked Over61c1,618$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.191421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under66c1,552$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.0126841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeece…ee6fbacked Under38c1,536$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.632560%15 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over63c1,433$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.5910844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under37c1,359$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.21,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under67c1,338$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43929740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7922951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7918051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f95…f98dbacked Over62c1,242$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over63c1,241$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.432,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over61c1,210$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.15341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Over9c1,126$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over63c1,122$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.632846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c1,015$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under60c1,004$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40430642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under38c999.98$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over41c995.03$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9619750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over15c965.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.845145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Under38c917.32$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.742755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Over11c899.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under48c865.88$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.159233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Over2c859.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1924540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e1c…4db8backed Under45c819.99$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Over62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over47c799.98$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9912663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over59c784.04$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5812241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Over39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008431%26 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.