TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$774,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$780,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x669d…c044backed Over7c141,488$9,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,550.42911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-69.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c54,379$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.793,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Over10c50,935$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c41,048$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over10c34,685$3,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.05230%0 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over1c28,342$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over10c16,154$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5754456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Over9c13,634$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.977740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over1c13,282$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.422,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c12,844$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Over9c10,552$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.062920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over1c7,674$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8127227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over1c6,591$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.881,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over9c6,138$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.7675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x982a…2853backed Over9c5,194$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.562015%3 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over9c4,806$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.5959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b38…6dc8backed Over7c4,364$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over1c4,232$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over5c3,856$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.84626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over3c3,596$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.522138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over9c3,293$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over6c3,110$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over5c3,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over9c3,000$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.513550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over10c3,000$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over10c2,730$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.229324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over9c2,620$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4515920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Over9c2,600$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9912227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3d…6039backed Over10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over9c2,140$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.946241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over10c2,126$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.81,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over6c2,109$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.338329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over1c1,966$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.921,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfafd…3598backed Over10c1,616$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over9c1,569$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.371226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over9c1,559$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.491,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over9c1,525$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.013125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over3c1,485$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6912123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over2c1,443$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.975320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Over1c1,392$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over9c1,143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over9c1,140$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over6c1,130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.151,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over9c1,053$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over9c1,053$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over9c1,037$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3260511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over10c1,026$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Over10c1,026$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over9c999.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9587938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over2c979.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8565253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Over9c935.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8810234.3%35 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over10c904.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.593815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over9c826.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.455521.8%12 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Over9c772.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.425937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over4c744.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.381,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc6…96a3backed Over9c688.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3950%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d56…4e3bbacked Over9c636.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over9c587.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.96595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over10c585.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.64221.4%9 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over9c559.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…0a02backed Over9c540.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506816.2%11 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over9c540.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over9c539.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2343139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over9c534.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over10c518.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.758713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over5c483.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9778835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa733…3456backed Over9c475.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over9c466.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3126243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.759020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over9c388.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over9c356.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4630039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8e…664abacked Over4c352.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155827.6%16 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4929…f37abacked Over9c342.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306434.4%22 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over9c324.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x991b…50c8backed Over9c324.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-74.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8323…be23backed Over9c324.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309032.2%29 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea4…9d9abacked Over10c307$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.938431%26 W · 58 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…9088backed Over9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over9c242.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8519038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over9c223.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.953,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aff…a6debacked Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…a066backed Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Over9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1859…a421backed Over9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.357837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe188…aad8backed Over9c216.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf694…9d0cbacked Over9c216.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012343.9%54 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f2…6f6cbacked Over9c210.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208636%31 W · 55 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad4…682dbacked Over10c205.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb21f…bb18backed Over9c204.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c35…fb29backed Over8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153312.1%4 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2c…ccc6backed Over9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186851.5%35 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee9…3175backed Over10c199.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.253231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over9c199.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.536534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over10c195.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0420427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over9c193.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.341,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.