TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Argentinaof England, Argentina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,106,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,119,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,106,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f03…766dbacked England5c138,240$6,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3753925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked England4c105,003$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.12230%0 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed England4c50,000$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8752313%3 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed England4c30,891$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.482,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked England2c27,082$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.8837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England3c21,681$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed England4c21,669$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.611,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed England4c20,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70012825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed England4c18,379$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.359838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked England4c17,005$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.012,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed England3c16,994$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.11,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed England4c16,187$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed England4c16,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked England4c12,870$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.631226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed England4c11,030$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.872722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed England5c10,326$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked England4c9,631$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79f6…8f75backed England4c9,230$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.05520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-74.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked England3c8,664$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.893,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed England4c8,467$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.772,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed England4c7,777$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1922139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England4c7,271$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked England4c6,656$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5936123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb328…4447backed England4c6,198$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.934643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca2…44fcbacked England2c6,037$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England5c5,150$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1760511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed England3c5,103$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.391,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed England4c5,079$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1710012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked England4c5,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked England4c5,000$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.516831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d1…9160backed England4c4,748$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed England4c4,583$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked England4c4,411$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.981,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked England3c3,575$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.214553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed England5c3,549$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4884738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412d…18c5backed England4c3,500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7560%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed England5c3,380$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.381,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed England5c3,006$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.565234.6%18 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked England3c2,809$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.032,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed England4c2,665$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked England4c2,500$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.312227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked England4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked England4c2,328$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.325418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked England4c2,217$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5210019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked England4c2,212$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5317919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked England3c2,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed England3c2,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6531728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed England4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed England4c2,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed England3c1,668$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2126841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe417…d844backed England3c1,639$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed England4c1,575$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310329.1%30 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed England4c1,550$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed England4c1,431$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8323…be23backed England3c1,429$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509032.2%29 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa517…f23bbacked England4c1,370$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.83043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked England4c1,300$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed England4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed England4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153c…e923backed England4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed England4c1,225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.152,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked England4c1,217$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.433,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed England4c1,092$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.351,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked England4c1,010$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8846743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed England4c1,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.515034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked England3c1,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.57825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked England5c972.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6143139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed England4c941.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409417%16 W · 78 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed England4c934$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6911642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed England3c752.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed England4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed England4c749.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.125435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked England4c719.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5915418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed England4c710.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed England4c705.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2440239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed England4c694$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.76922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed England4c665.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed England2c648.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.614,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked England4c600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed England5c573.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1345120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed England4c558.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.338838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked England4c532.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.294916.3%8 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c7…2ca3backed England4c501.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked England4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208326.5%22 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed England4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed England5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked England4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2167…5dedbacked England5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked England4c482.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.393,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked England2c471.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c1b…1a50backed England4c470.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed England4c470.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012815.6%20 W · 108 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf62…a4b5backed England4c450$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd787…c146backed England3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed England4c390.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed England4c370.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked England4c359.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed England4c322.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1118822.3%42 W · 146 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb2a…7ec6backed England5c315.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.18633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed England4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.