TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,852 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under79c3,153$2,484 inLost-$2,484.092,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…1bf9backed Over16c3,060$500 inWon+$2,560.02128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under66c2,971$1,971 inLost-$1,970.672,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over48c2,408$1,160 inWon+$1,24817747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under79c1,436$1,133 inLost-$1,133.2925643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over14c1,278$184 inWon+$1,094.171,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under76c1,206$912 inLost-$912.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over22c951.06$208 inWon+$743.251,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over13c817.64$109 inWon+$708.7785550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under80c448.36$357 inLost-$357.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under57c437.99$250 inLost-$249.5565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under60c409.05$243 inLost-$243.484839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9646…2dcdbacked Over16c319.68$53 inWon+$267.142619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over33c300$98 inWon+$201.771,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under63c296.4$188 inLost-$187.9482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under79c283$224 inLost-$223.762,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over17c258.76$44 inWon+$214.775020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0aa…ee4cbacked Under79c242.96$191 inLost-$190.856150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under58c242.84$141 inLost-$141.382,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over31c227$71 inWon+$155.581,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a24…545dbacked Over24c208.33$50 inWon+$158.332119%4 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under75c206.2$154 inLost-$154.1545145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under72c205.99$147 inLost-$147.3217533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over35c165$58 inWon+$106.941,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under43c157.1$68 inLost-$68.32,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ef…777bbacked Over27c143.63$38 inWon+$105.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over16c110.67$18 inWon+$92.9675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under59c101.4$60 inLost-$59.9966932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e84…8e88backed Under74c100$74 inLost-$743946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over19c94.18$18 inWon+$76.451,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf51e…0280backed Over23c75.24$17 inWon+$57.746540%26 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over74c71.48$53 inWon+$18.252,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under70c65$46 inLost-$45.52,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb652…64fbbacked Over16c62.5$10 inWon+$52.57611.8%9 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over40c61.73$25 inWon+$36.7313149.6%65 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe065…6bb4backed Under74c49.32$36 inLost-$36.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under78c47$37 inLost-$36.673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed Under79c15.08$12 inLost-$11.915052%26 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.