TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Argentinaof England, Argentina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed England1c63,192$888 inLost-$888.0929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed England2c19,605$329 inLost-$329.2724917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed England1c12,419$155 inLost-$155.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed England1c11,206$159 inLost-$158.8872722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64bf…9393backed England1c10,508$157 inLost-$157.231656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed England2c10,000$180 inLost-$1809838.8%38 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked England2c8,222$132 inLost-$131.5621333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked England1c7,000$84 inLost-$8416831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed England1c6,136$63 inLost-$63.323236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England1c5,682$28 inLost-$28.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked England1c4,041$45 inLost-$44.961,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed England1c3,538$30 inLost-$303813.2%5 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked England1c3,333$30 inLost-$307356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked England1c3,000$43 inLost-$43.517919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed England2c2,577$40 inLost-$39.937444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36c…e7babacked England1c2,500$23 inLost-$22.5667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282e…ff7cbacked England1c2,323$20 inLost-$19.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed England1c2,222$24 inLost-$24.44968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa517…f23bbacked England1c2,010$20 inLost-$20.13043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed England2c2,000$30 inLost-$305916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed England1c1,862$17 inLost-$17.0475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed England1c1,708$14 inLost-$13.6560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed England1c1,542$18 inLost-$18.283,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed England1c1,469$15 inLost-$15.166446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked England1c1,466$18 inLost-$18.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked England1c1,379$13 inLost-$12.811,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed England1c1,265$16 inLost-$16.441323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+319.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf89…6568backed England1c1,223$15 inLost-$154910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a0…2746backed England2c1,200$19 inLost-$19.219739.6%78 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed England2c1,199$18 inLost-$18.198838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked England1c779.99$10 inLost-$10.148326.5%22 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7d…224cbacked England2c625$10 inLost-$10156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-78%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.