Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ffc9292cc5a09ad3c95675f4b6b85e55653e34c9ce0cfc7ce49d84e00e8f65

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Englandof Argentina, England
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $839,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $838,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $839,731 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xae2b…90eabacked Argentina	11c	74,924$8,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,489.05	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Argentina	12c	60,374$7,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,209.56	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Argentina	12c	50,000$6,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,124.98	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-48%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina	7c	48,187$3,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150.41	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina	13c	32,775$4,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,125.76	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Argentina	1c	16,329$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.72	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…30e9backed Argentina	12c	15,936$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,897.62	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	15cpaid	+190.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Argentina	12c	15,815$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,897.81	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d48…0d57backed Argentina	12c	15,798$1,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Argentina	12c	15,594$1,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,910	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina	11c	15,118$1,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,637.45	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Argentina	11c	15,000$1,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,712.5	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Argentina	3c	11,720$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Argentina	2c	10,583$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.13	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Argentina	7c	8,408$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.26	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Argentina	12c	7,329$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Argentina	12c	6,172$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Argentina	9c	5,395$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Argentina	12c	5,163$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.73	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Argentina	12c	5,150$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.76	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina	12c	4,972$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.78	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Argentina	12c	4,200$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd518…7dffbacked Argentina	12c	4,101$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.32	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	+98.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Argentina	12c	4,083$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Argentina	12c	3,757$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.48	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Argentina	12c	3,447$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.01	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e83…5e31backed Argentina	12c	3,406$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.74	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63af…2d0cbacked Argentina	1c	3,378$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.43	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Argentina	12c	3,207$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.67	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Argentina	12c	2,500$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.25	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Argentina	4c	2,492$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Argentina	11c	2,404$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.62	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Argentina	5c	2,260$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.71	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…048cbacked Argentina	1c	2,250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina	12c	2,137$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.06	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Argentina	11c	2,001$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.08	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Argentina	12c	2,000$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.2	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Argentina	12c	2,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.99	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeca2…44fcbacked Argentina	6c	1,739$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Argentina	12c	1,672$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.46	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Argentina	12c	1,668$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Argentina	12c	1,666$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.08	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Argentina	13c	1,600$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Argentina	12c	1,454$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.16	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Argentina	5c	1,288$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.78	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Argentina	12c	1,275$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.81	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Argentina	11c	1,254$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.17	46	13%6 W · 40 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Argentina	12c	1,250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b51…2cf4backed Argentina	12c	1,250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Argentina	10c	1,241$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.15	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina	12c	1,232$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.74	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Argentina	12c	1,076$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Argentina	9c	1,037$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.34	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Argentina	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Argentina	12c	1,000$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5022…9b18backed Argentina	12c	889.23$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.48	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Argentina	11c	869.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10fd…a922backed Argentina	11c	869.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…cca0backed Argentina	12c	851.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Argentina	12c	851.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Argentina	12c	850$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.88	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Argentina	6c	834.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Argentina	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x153c…e923backed Argentina	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Argentina	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb116…7baebacked Argentina	13c	800$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Argentina	8c	788.12$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1c…8483backed Argentina	13c	763.68$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.46	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Argentina	12c	725.96$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.93	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Argentina	12c	700$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.25	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Argentina	10c	700$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	100	13%13 W · 87 L	-9.1wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Argentina	12c	671.43$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.25	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b84…976abacked Argentina	10c	651.04$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0984…5933backed Argentina	10c	598.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Argentina	5c	593.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.52	176	59.7%105 W · 71 L	+25.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Argentina	2c	571.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Argentina	6c	539$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Argentina	12c	524.79$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.19	652	53.8%351 W · 301 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Argentina	12c	509.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.92	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Argentina	8c	499.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.75	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90e4…a408backed Argentina	9c	473.68$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Argentina	12c	444.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.41	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Argentina	12c	441.24$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.51	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Argentina	10c	440$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b3…955fbacked Argentina	12c	435.32$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Argentina	12c	435.32$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Argentina	12c	425.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x212a…dbe8backed Argentina	12c	425.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Argentina	12c	425$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	128	39.1%50 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31c9…641fbacked Argentina	12c	417.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed Argentina	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Argentina	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	128	15.6%20 W · 108 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71e7…f81cbacked Argentina	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e6…aad4backed Argentina	12c	416.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Argentina	13c	404.78$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.61	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Argentina	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d59…b1b3backed Argentina	8c	396.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa743…220fbacked Argentina	12c	396.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Argentina	12c	375$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed Argentina	12c	371.59$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.52	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)this page
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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