England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4643966564cab455a3271fa7c3320bb5554ad7f3fb5b2699ec97b7f5177d4030

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $283,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $304,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	41c	32,066$13,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,246.68	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over	69c	28,358$19,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,791.07	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	44c	10,895$4,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,087.76	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over	47c	10,578$4,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,606.5	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over	69c	10,100$6,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,131	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Over	67c	10,000$6,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,299.99	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+86.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	39c	9,770$3,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,808.62	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under	31c	9,000$2,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,790	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	68c	8,319$5,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,624.42	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under	31c	8,118$2,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,516.52	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	47c	8,083$3,781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,301.74	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under	31c	7,115$2,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205.65	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	70c	6,478$4,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,969.79	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	33c	5,991$1,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.67	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under	44c	5,233$2,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,313.58	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	31c	5,000$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over	47c	5,000$2,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,660	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	33c	4,349$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.96	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over	69c	4,348$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.83	105	49.5%52 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Over	69c	4,000$2,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,240	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+124.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	31c	3,992$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230.08	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	50c	3,588$1,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,786.72	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over	69c	3,127$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.12	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	30c	3,064$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.21	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	54c	3,034$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.79	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Over	45c	3,000$1,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,655.38	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over	65c	2,900$1,892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.99	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	48c	2,645$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256.59	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	37c	2,592$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.51	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeece…ee6fbacked Under	52c	2,232$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.52	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+4.4wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39f9…6c3dbacked Under	45c	2,220$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	31c	2,206$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.34	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over	69c	2,200$1,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682	75	60%45 W · 30 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbd6…9efebacked Under	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	12cpaid	+72.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.99	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over	55c	1,991$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.88	89	41.6%37 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	54c	1,919$1,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.51	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	31c	1,908$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.36	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	30c	1,755$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.81	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over	64c	1,557$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.93	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Over	42c	1,520$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.53	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc14e…39a5backed Under	36c	1,516$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.77	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Over	47c	1,474$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.46	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over	43c	1,459$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.61	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	31c	1,455$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.91	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Over	69c	1,449$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.28	40	65%26 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over	69c	1,449$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.28	9	100%9 W · 0 L	+3.2wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+63%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	48c	1,425$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.73	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa2…3b2abacked Over	69c	1,346$929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.26	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e7…5124backed Under	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Under	32c	1,300$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	30c	1,254$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.86	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under	52c	1,229$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.91	53	60.4%32 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…ec59backed Over	50c	1,226$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.21	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+80%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	64c	1,201$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.66	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Under	3c	1,190$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under	31c	1,113$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	43c	1,090$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.33	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b94…87d9backed Over	69c	1,085$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.95	111	64.9%72 W · 39 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Over	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+5.7wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over	49c	999.99$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Under	64c	999.99$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	96	62.5%60 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under	30c	999.97$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	303	45.2%137 W · 166 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b0…551abacked Over	70c	996.66$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	55c	976.05$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.83	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	49c	966.79$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.79	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under	31c	961$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.91	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	30c	954.44$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.33	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	52c	873.56$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.34	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under	54c	851.52$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.11	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	47c	811$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.25	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under	40c	762.03$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.24	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Over	51c	761.34$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.52	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	31c	734.55$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.13	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Over	69c	724.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.64	281	34.5%97 W · 184 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a2…0b0bbacked Over	70c	714.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.29	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over	65c	712.43$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.98	235	58.3%137 W · 98 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over	69c	710.42$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.23	126	54%68 W · 58 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x284c…1934backed Over	69c	657.46$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.81	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over	44c	652.24$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.77	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	70c	649.01$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.7	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over	46c	646.36$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.22	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under	9c	631.81$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.91	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under	31c	600$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	167	53.9%90 W · 77 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under	17c	600$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+12.4wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	117	49.6%58 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Under	31c	580.65$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over	69c	573.78$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.87	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	11c	566.2$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.17	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under	17c	563.87$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.86	104	20.2%21 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	31c	512$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.72	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Over	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	63c	500$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	289	45.3%131 W · 158 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f61…5ed2backed Over	48c	473.42$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.18	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5this page
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event